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  1. #141
    Senior Trader
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    Date : 16th October 2018.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 16th October 2018.




    FX News Today

    Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields are up 1.5 bp at 3.171% and JGB yields rose 1.0 bp to 0.142%. Bond yields are resuming their uptrend as stock market sentiment stabilized during the Asian session, although Oil prices are rising as Saudi tensions spike limited gains. There are also concerns over China’s GDP data later in the week, which markets fear will show the impact of US-Sino trade tensions. Japanese markets managed to bounce back from the 19-months low yesterday as Topix and Nikkei are up 0.13% and 0.41% respectively. The ASX is up 0.56% but the Hang Seng has lost -0.09% so far and the CSI -0.13% and Shanghai Comp and Shenzen Comp are down -0.14% and -0.21% respectively. US futures are moving higher though, in line with the overall improving trend in Asia. The front end Nymex future is trading slightly under USD 72 per barrel.

    European Fixed Income Outlook: The 10-year Bund future opened at 158.49, down from a close of 158.59 on Monday. The 10-year cash yield is also down -0.3 bp at 0.497% in the opening session after an unexpected dip in German import price inflation at the start of the session. Generally, global bonds are back under pressure as stock market sentiment stabilized during the Asian session and 10-year Treasury rates are up 1.1 bp at 3.1675. The stalled Brexit talks, as well increased spending targets in Italy and now Spain remain in focus as does the fallout from the Bavarian election on the central government in Berlin. The data calendar focuses on UK labour market data as well as German ZEW investor confidence, with the latter expected to fall slightly.

    Charts of the Day



    Main Macro Events Today

    * UK Labour Market Data – Expectations – The UK Unemployment rate is expected to remain flat at 4%, while Average Earnings should increase by 2.8% in August, compared to 2.9% in July.

    * US Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization – Expectations – Industrial Production is expected to have increased by 0.3% in September, and Capacity Utilization to have increased to 78.2% compared to 78.1% in August.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Dr Nektarios Michail
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #142
    Senior Trader
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
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    My Language
    English
    Date : 17th October 2018.

    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 17th October 2018.




    FX News Today

    Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury and JGB yields gained 0.2 bp each and are trading at 3.165% and 0142% respectively, but despite broad gains on Asian stock markets, Treasuries are down from earlier highs and most government bonds in Asia managed to move higher.Japanese bourses continued to bounce in the wake of the tech stock recovery in the US yesterday, and with earnings from the likes of Goldman Sachs and Netflix adding support. Topix and Nikkei are up 1.35% and 1.05%. The ASX also managed a strong 1.12% gain, but Chinese bourses are underperforming. Hong Kong was closed today. US stock futures are actually posting slight losses, highlighting not only that stocks still have a way to go before they have recouped last week’s losses, but also that sentiment is still fragile as investors struggle with the sharp rise in yields. Markets are now looking ahead to today’s release of the minutes from the last Fed meeting. The local calendar was quiet and Oil prices are trading around the USD 72 per barrel mark, after the unexpected drop in American crude stockpiles and as investors keep a nervous eye on simmering tensions between the US and Saudi Arabia over the missing journalist. For now, Trump seems to be giving Saudi Arabia the benefit of the doubt.

    FX Action: USDJPY posted a 3-session high at 112.42 before settling around 112.14. AUDJPY posted a 1-week high before ebbing back, while the likes of EURJPY and GBPJPY have remained below their respective highs from yesterday, although also running higher during the Tokyo AM session. The weakness of the Yen has been concomitant with an improvement in risk appetite, with Wall Street closing solidly higher following a tech-led rally founded on encouraging earnings reports and stock markets in Asian, outside of China, following suit. The Nikkei 225 is showing a 1.3% gain, while China’s SSE index is down by 0.7% on nagging concerns about the impact of the US-China trade war. USDJPY has been in a choppy range rooted on the 112.00 level for nearly a week now, consolidating after dropping back from levels near 114.50 in the week before. Fundamentals (yield differentials and the associated contrast between Fed and BoJ policy paths) remain supportive, but the spectre of risk aversion has been an offsetting bearish force.

    Charts of the Day



    Main Macro Events Today

    * UK Sep CPI – Expectations – The UK inflation is anticipated to headline CPI dipping to 2.6% y/y in September from 2.7% in the month prior, with the core CPI figure ebbing to a 2.0% y/y rate from 2.1% in August.

    * EU 27-Summit on Brexit – European Union leaders are expected to meet in Brussels to discuss a possible Brexit deal with Britain, over dinner.

    * Eurozone Sept. HICP – Expectations –The final reading of September Eurozone HICP is unlikely to hold any surprise and confirm the headline rate at 2.1% y/y, above the ECB’s 2% limit for price stability, but mainly due to higher energy and food price inflation.

    * US Sept. Housing starts, Permits & EIA inventories – Expectations – They are forecast to drop 2.5% to 1.250 mln, while permits should rise 2.5% to 1.280 mln. Also slated are MBA mortgage stats. All of the September housing data are at risk for a hit from hurricane Florence. EIA energy inventory data is on tap too.

    * FOMC Meeting Minutes – The FOMC minutes will provide an assessment as regards the views of the Fed’s policymakers about the interest-setter’s future stance.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  3. ARIONFORXtarder
 

 
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