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Thread: USD/JPY

  1. #91
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    USD/JPY 07.09.2016
    The Japanese yen gained, as investors to cut favorable bets in the greenback on rising expectations that the Federal Reserve would not hike interest rate this month. The major attempted a minor recovery above the 101.50 level, however, it came under renewed selling pressure after Abe advisor Hamada stated that the Bank of Japan should wait and watch the Fed moves, which reduced prospects of a BoJ stimulus this month. The dollar trades 0.3 percent lower at 101.69, having declined to its lowest in more than a week. The short term trend is slightly bearish as long as resistance 104.89 (90- day EMA) holds. The major resistance is around 102.51 and break above targets 103/103.80. On the lower side, major support is around 101.35 and any break below 101.35 will drag the pair till 100.55/100.

  2. #92
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    USDJPY Technical Levels - 11.01.2017
    Technically USDJPY upside, the strong resistance can be seen at 117.00, a break above this level would take the pair towards next resistance level at 117.52.
    Downside immediate support can be seen at 115.76, a break below this level will open the door towards next level at 115.09.
    Trend overall looking slightly bullish at the moment.
    Last edited by ALex; 01-11-2017 at 07:02 PM.

  3. #93
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    USDJPY Technical Levels - 10.05.2017
    USD/JPY declined slightly on Wednesday as U.S. President Trumps abrupt firing of FBI chief James Comey increased demand for safe-haven yen, though gains were capped by expectations of further U.S. interest rate increases.
    To the upside, immediate resistance can be seen at 114.12, a break above this level would take the pair towards next resistance level at 114.63.
    To the downside, strong support can be seen at 113.24, a break below this level will open the gates towards next level at 112.91.

  4. #94
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    Interestingly, I had a sell trade here from the level 114.34 and I closed it @111.42 level with 292 pips TP! If market goes again 114.34 then I’ll open another sell trade here; because I seem it’s a good area for the sellers! So, until breaking this level I’ll keep attacking this level! By the way, now we are in a weekly range between 114.34 to 108.60!

  5. #95
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    USD/JPY testing highs(109.30) --- US PCE on sight

    USD/JPY is regaining som buying interest and is looking to more strong
    the trade above the critical barrier at 109.00.The pair keeps navigating the upper end of the recent range above the 109.00 amidst the continuation of the up move.
    Volatilty in spot remains maeginal and always keeping an eye on the US money markets while Japenes markets closed due to the Showa Day Holiday



  6. #96
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    USD/JPY up (109.40)

    The pair up from 109.00 and inced back closer to previous session's swing highs
    The US Dollar held on its modest gains near multi month tops ,supported by a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields.
    This coupled with fading safe-haven demand, which largely offset an upward revision of the Japanese manufacturing PMI, remains supportive of the mildly positive tone for the second consecutive session.The up-move, however, seemed lacking any strong follow-through traction amid holiday-thinned liquidity conditions and investors' reluctance to place aggressive bets ahead of this week's highly anticipated FOMC meeting and the keenly watched US NFP report. Ahead of the key event risks, the release of US ISM manufacturingPMI, scheduled for release later during the early NA session, would now be looked upon for some short-term trading opportunities.

  7. #97
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    USD/JPY on 110.00

    The pair’s outlook should shift to bullish on a close above the key 110.00 level.USD managed to move above 110.00 yesterday (above 110.02).The pull back from high has resulted in quick loss from here, a sustained break above 110.00 seems unlikely, at least not for today.

  8. #98
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    Dollar eyes Fed minutes ahead of jobs report and tariffs

    The Fed will release the minutes from its June policy meeting on Thursday, at 1800 GMT. Not only did policymakers raise interest rates for a second time this year at that gathering, they also revised higher their rate-path projections to signal a total of four hikes in 2018, from three previously. The minutes may shine a fresh light on how confident the Committee as a whole is on that prospect, with any conversation on trade frictions also attracting attention.
    The latter part of this week promises to be a busy and volatile period for the US dollar. After the Fed releases minutes on Thursday, the US employment report for June will hit the markets on Friday – the same day when the US and China are expected to slap tariffs on each other, potentially escalating already-boiling trade tensions.
    Focusing on the minutes, they will be released one day later than usual – on Thursday – due to the US Independence Day holiday on Wednesday. Back at the June gathering, the Fed surprised in a somewhat hawkish manner. While a 25bps rate hike was well-signaled and fully priced in ahead of the event, the Committee also upgraded its rate path projections for 2018. The caveat, however, was that the decision to signal faster hikes was a very close call. Just one official raised her/his projection to signal four hikes from three previously, which resulted in the median projection being pushed up as well.
    Perhaps due to how close the decision was, markets have not really been convinced the Fed will proceed with raising rates another two times (to bring the total to four this year). While investors are confident at least one more will materialize, something fully priced in already, they are skeptical of a second one – a prospect they assign a mere 39% probability to, according to the Fed funds futures.

    Hence, the focus may turn to the conversation on the economic outlook, to gauge what the more cautious officials would need to see for them to join the camp supporting four hikes as well. Moreover, any discussion on the US-China trade standoff will attract attention. Although the Fed had not appeared particularly worried by these frictions, comments by Chairman Powell a few days after the June meeting suggested otherwise. He said businesses are talking about postponing hiring and investment decisions in this environment, though such talk hasn’t shown up in economic data yet. Given the lack of confidence in Powell’s remarks, markets will look for clues on whether the Fed may turn more dovish if trade tensions begin to act as a drag on the economy, perhaps by delaying rate hikes to provide some cushion. Any such signals could work against the dollar.


  9. #99
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    USD/JPY Technical Analysis: sustained move beyond 111.00 to reinforce constructive outlook

    • The recent price action reinforces the importance of an important confluence support, comprising of 55-day SMA and a short-term ascending trend-line extending through lows touched in April/May/June.

    • The 111.00 handle has kept upticks under check since mid-June and hence, the pair needs to decisively move above the mentioned hurdle to bolster the near-term bullish bias.

    • Technical indicators are holding in positive territory, but look fragile, and hence, a strong follow-through buying would be needed to reinforce the constructive outlook.

    Spot Rate: 110.62
    Daily Low: 110.50
    Daily High: 110.79
    Trend: Bullish until holds above the confluence support

    Resistance
    R1: 110.83 (R1 daily pivot-point)
    R2: 111.00 (round figure mark)
    R3: 111.40 (May monthly swing high)

    Support
    S1: 110.28 (weekly low set on Wednesday)
    S2: 110.10 (S2 daily pivot-point)
    S3: 109.89 (ascending trend-line & 55-day SMA confluence level)

  10. #100
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    USD/JPY: a contaminated sack regarding option key week ahead, but bulls remain as regards hermetic arena
    USD/JPY has started out the week indecisive in skinny trading conditions later Tokyo out followed by the US and Canada away for Columbus and Thanks Giving respectively.
    The pair is currently trading at 113.82 having made a high of 113.86 and a low of 113.69 but the technicals thin bullish concerning what is scheduled to be a full of beans week ahead.
    The pro to the upside has slowed in the last few sessions despite US yields song-rocketing and US data outperforming. The pair topped out concerning the 114.50's, dropped to a secret with parentage in the 113.60's where bulls recovered some free pitch for a rapid-lived spell further upon the 114 handle where supply took the pair dispel the length of out cold the hourly H7S neckline deserted to locate demand in the 113.60s anew. The pair has stabilised there despite a sea of red in the buildup markets. The dollar was infected but sealed enough to save the bears at bay and the same can be said for the nonfarm payrolls data.
    The jobs data was a disappointment upon the headline, (134k, 185k predict, 201k prev, 270k revised), although wages and the unemployment rate ignited rate hike fever which made for choppy price stroke a share and a game of talisman and encounter in the middle of the bears and bulls in the markets - (US September Average Earnings m/m, 0.3%, 0.3% predict, 0.4% previous, 0.3% revised - US Sep Average Earnings y/y, 2.8%, 2.8% forecast, 2.9% previous). As for the US Sep Unemployment rate, at 3.7%, vs 3.8% forecast, and 3.9% previous, this leaves eight years of job gains, and unemployment at the lowest to the front 1969.


    Fed chat keeps the dollar bid ahead of choice key week
    Powell and Bostic were both reinforcing the combat for more hikes upon Friday ahead of a week that holds profusion of potential risk-off badly character pain in the middle of adulation to geopolitics that may or may not continue to solely favour the greenback in the immediate term - US CPI will be the emphasize.

  11. ARIONFORXtarder
 

 
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