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  1. #351
    Senior Trader
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
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    Date : 18th January 2017.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 18th January 2017.






    FX News Today


    European Fixed Income Outlook: Asian stock markets traded mixed overnight, with Nikkei and ASX 200 closing in the red, while Chinese shares rallied ahead of key data releases including GDP numbers. FTSE 100 and U.S. stock futures are narrowly mixed, while 10-year JGB and Treasury yields slightly lower on the day, South Korea bonds rallied after the BoK held rates steady and warned of overheating in cryptocurrency markets. EGB yields moved marginally higher on Thursday, with Bunds outperforming after ECB officials tried to calm tightening concerns and keep a lid on the euro. Still, that the ECB is on the way to phase out net asset purchases this year is pretty clear, with the only question whether there will be an abrupt end in October, as the hawks are suggesting, or a gradual taper in Q4. Released overnight, U.K. RICS house price data came in stronger than expected. There are no other key data releases scheduled leaving the focus on the Bundesbank/IMF conference with speakers including Weidmann and Coeure, as well as French and Spanish bond auctions.


    FX Update: The dollar edged out fresh recovery highs versus the euro and other currencies. EURUSD logged a four-session low of 1.2165 before recouping to around 1.2200. The move reflected a dollar dynamic, with EURJPY and other euro crosses having held relatively steady today, even though the airing of concerns about the common currency’s ascent by some ECB officials, along with concerns on the German political front, helped catalysed the correction from 37-month highs in EURUSD. USDJPY lifted to a four-session high of 111.48 in Tokyo today, extending the recovery from Wednesday’s four-month low at 110.19. The recovery broke a run of seven consecutive down . Good selling interest into 111.50 capped the advance, however. Equity markets also turned mixed-to-lower in Asia, despite Wall Street ascending to fresh highs, having been lifted by earnings and Apple’s announcement on a large cash repatriation. Elsewhere, USD-CAD has settled at near net unchanged levels relative to levels that were prevailing just ahead of yesterday’s BoC rate hike (which met expectations while be accompanied with cautious guidance). Sterling is the strongest currency on the day, posting a near 0.5% average gain versus the dollar, euro and yen in post-London close trading. Remarks from BoE MPC member Sauders warning that pay growth will accelerate in the UK during 2018 and that unemployment may drop to multi-decade lows under 4.0%, gave Hey Majesty’s currency a boost, reportedly encouraging interbank and near-term speculative accounts to run at sell stops in EUR-GBP.


    Main Macro Events Today


    US Housing Starts & Building Permits – Housing starts should fall to a 1.275 mln pace in December after November’s 3.3% surge to 1.297 mln, while Building permits expected at 1.290M from 1.298M seen on November.


    US Jobless Claims – Unemployment claims is seen slightly lower at 250K than 261K last week.


    US Crude Oil Inventories


    Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey – The Philly Fed index should fall to 25.0 in January from the upwardly revised 27.9 in December. The reading was at 24.1 a year ago, and was as high as 36.4 in 2011.


    ECB Cœuré Speech


    Charts of the Day





    Support and Resistance Levels


    [IMG]https://goo.gl/CAi2eC
    [/IMG]


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    Hot-Forex



    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #352
    Senior Trader
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
    Location
    Not Specified
    Posts
    637
    Post Thanks / Like
    Credits
    7,322
    My Language
    English
    Date : 19th January 2017.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 19th January 2017.






    FX News Today


    European Fixed Income Outlook: Asian stock markets moved mostly higher led by industrial and tech stocks and the Treasury yields climbed as investors nervously eye the risk of a U.S. government shutdown, as the federal spending authority is set to expire today, which weighed on the dollar. The Yen advanced, but the Nikkei still managed a 0.19% gain and the CSI 300 is up 0.50%. FTSE 100 futures are fractionally higher, U.S. futures marginally in the red. Core EGB yields climbed with Treasury yields yesterday, but peripherals outperformed and Eurozone spreads narrowed amid signs that the ECB remains very cautious in its approach to changes in the guidance, even as hawks slowly gain the upper hand. Today’s calendar has U.K. retail sales and Eurozone current account and BoP data after PPI numbers at the start of the session.


    FX Update: The dollar has traded softer on U.S. political concerns, though has remained above recent trend lows versus the yen, euro and most other currencies. The narrow trade-weighted USD index (DXY) is down 0.2%, making a low at 90.33 and swinging the 37-month low of Wednesday at 90.14 back into scope. The House of Reps passed the stopgap funding bill yesterday, and the vote now goes to the Senate, which has delayed its vote until later today and where there remains significant opposition to the bill. Republicans have been making amendments to the bill in an attempt to entice Democrat votes, but Democrats signalled that they have enough Senate opposition to stop the bill, which does not give sufficient concessions to them on immigration, government spending and other issues. According to the Washington Post, 39 Democrat and at least two GOP Senate members are known to be in opposition, leaving the bill short of the 60 votes needed to advance. This will be the dominant focus for markets today for market participants. Should the vote fail, government agencies will start shutting down from tomorrow — a scenario that would likely spark heavy dollar selling.


    Main Macro Events Today


    US Partial Government Shutdown


    Swiss Product and Import Prices – should fall to a 0.4% in December after November’s 0.6%.


    US Retail Sales – December retail sales expected to show a decline of 0.8% m/m (median -0.6% m/m), which would correct some of the 1.1% m/m gain that was seen in November.


    Canadian Manufacturing Sales – manufacturing shipment values expected to rise 1.9% m/m after the 0.4% dip in October.


    Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment – expected to rise to 97.0 after the index slid 0.8 points to 95.9 in December, supported by the bull run in equities and the passage of the tax bill.


    FOMC Member Quarles Speech


    Charts of the Day





    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    Hot-Forex



    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  3. ARIONFORXtarder
 

 
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