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  1. #241
    Senior Trader
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    Date : 17th April 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 17th April 2019.






    FX News Today


    * 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.7 bp at 2.598% and JGB yields climbed 1.8 bp to -0.015%, as stock market sentiment got a boost from Chinese data releases that beat expectations.


    * Chinese GDP growth came in at 6.4% y/y, in the first quarter, unchanged from Q4, while production surged 8.5% y/y and retail sales 8.7% y/y.


    * Data were taken as a sign that the government’s stimulus measures are starting to take effect. While it may be too early to call the all clear on the world economy, together with signs that US-Sino trade talks are making progress,
    * the data will go some way to bolster confidence, especially after positive surprises on credit and housing data last week.
    The data underpinned Asian stock markets, as Topix and Nikkei posted gains of 0.29% and 0.27% respectively. The Hang Seng is up 0.01% and CSI 400 and Shanghai Comp gained 0.11% and 0.34%.


    * Broader Asian indices are at the highest level since last July, even as the ASX underperformed and closed with a loss of -0.35%, dragged down by the materials sector.


    * US futures are also posting broad gains and the front end WTI future has moved up to now USD 64.50 per barrel.


    Charts of the Day





    Technician’s Corner


    * EURUSD moved past 1.13 early today and has been moving towards the 1.1315 Resistance level. Key Resistance remains at 1.1320 while the Support at 1.1279 is still strong after being hit twice yesterday. Indicators support an upwards move.


    * GBPUSD has been moving downwards but is so far unable to break through the psychological 1.30 level, fluctuating around the 1.3067-1.3026 levels. Indicators are giving mixed signals.


    * USDJPY found support again under the 112.00 mark, and continued to trade there yesterday, with the Japanese data releases causing only some volatility. Indicators are showing mixed signals.


    * XAUUSD is trading at lows, after breaking through the 1285 Support level. Gold appears unable to break through the 1275 level, with the MACD and Stochastics showing upwards signals.


    Main Macro Events Today


    * UK RPI and CPI inflation (GBP, GMT 08:30) – Both the RPI and the CPI are expected to have declined in March, reaching 2.1% and 1.6% respectively, down from 2.5% and 1.9% respectively.


    * EU CPI inflation (EUR, GMT 09:00) – Both the core and the overall CPI inflation rates are expected to have remained at the same levels, at 0.8% and 1.4% respectively.


    * Canada CPI Inflation (CAD, GMT 12:30) – The BoC Core price index is expected to have remained at 1.3% y/y, while the overall CPI index is forecast to rise to 1.9% y/y in March compared to 1.5% in February.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Dr Nektarios Michail
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #242
    Senior Trader
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    Date : 18th April 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 18th April 2019.






    FX News Today


    * 10-year Treasury yields corrected -2.7 bp to 2.567% and JGB yields are down -1.4 bp at -0.0033%.


    * Asian bonds were generally supported, as stock markets sentiment turned sour again, with South Korean paper underperforming after the BoK left interest rates unchanged, but cut its growth and inflation forecast to 2.5% and 1.1% respectively.


    * Record household debt was one of the factors holding the BoK back from cutting rates for now, and South Korea’s 10-year yield jumped 5.9 bp as the bank tried to calm recession fears.


    * Stock markets generally corrected from the six months high seen yesterday with uninspiring corporate earnings and problems with a new Samsung phone preventing further gains for now.


    * Topix and Nikkei lost -0.96% and -0.80% respectively, after Wall Street closed with slight losses.


    * The Hang Seng is down -0.58%, CSI 300 and Shanghai Comp down -0.44% and -0.39% respectively. The ASX dropped -0.10% and US stock futures are also broadly lower, suggesting ongoing pressure on markets.


    * The front end WTI future meanwhile is trading at USD 63.77 per barrel.


    Charts of the Day





    Technician’s Corner


    * EURUSD is still trading around the 1.13 level, and in a channel with key Resistance at 1.1320 and Support at 1.1279. Both are still strong after having bounced yesterday. Indicators are issuing mixed signals.


    * GBPUSD has been stable around the 1.30 level, still unable to break through, fluctuating between the 1.3067-1.3026 Resistance and Support levels. Indicators are giving positive signals.


    * USDJPY started the day below 112.00 mark, as indicators are suggesting a downwards movement. Support remains at 111.80.


    * XAUUSD is trading at year-to-date lows, after breaking through the 1275 Support level. 1270 is the next Support level, with indicators are showing signs of stabilization.


    Main Macro Events Today


    * EU PMIs (EUR, GMT 08:00) – Manufacturing and Composite PMIs are expected to increase in April, to 47.9 and 51.8 respectively while the Services PMI is forecasted to have remained at 53.3.


    * Retail Sales ex Fuel (GBP, GMT 08:30) – UK Retail Sales ex Fuel are expected to have increased to 4% y/y, compared to 3.8% y/y in March.


    * Retail Sales ex Autos (USD, GMT 12:30) – Retail Sales are expected to have increased to 0.4% in March, up from the negative 0.2% surprise in February.


    * Retail Sales (CAD, GMT 12:30) – Retail Sales are forecasted to have registered an increase in Canada as well, to 0.2% compared to 0.1% in January.


    * Philly Fed Index (USD, GMT 12:30) – Philly Fed index is expected to have eased to 10.3 compared to 13.7 in March.


    * Markit PMIs (USD, GMT 13:45) – Mixed signals are expected from the PMI release, as Manufacturing is expected to have increased to 52.8 from 52.4, while the Services PMI is expected to have declined to 55 from 55.3.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Dr Nektarios Michail
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  3. #243
    Senior Trader
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    Date : 19th April 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 19th April 2019.






    FX News Today


    * Wall Street was higher overnight, with the Dow up 0.4% and outperforming on the back of strong retail sales data and better earnings from Travelers and American Express.


    * Core European bourses were mixed, with the DAX up nearly 0.6%, the CAC 40 up 0.3%, and the FTSE slightly underwater.


    * Japan released its March national CPI, which as expected remained well below the 2% BoJ’s target. The overall rose to 0.5% y/y from 0.2%, and the core is at 0.8% from the 0.7% y/y.


    * The Japanese inflation supports once again the BoJ’s large-scale easy monetary policy.


    * The US, Canada, the UK and several other European and Asian markets are closed for Good Friday, with Europe remaining shut for Easter Monday. Only Japan is open from the Asia trading centres.


    Charts of the Day





    Technician’s Corner


    * EURUSD is still trading below the 1.13 level, retracing nearly 23% of yesterday’s losses. The April low of 1.1184, then the March 7 bottom of 1.1177 will be in the cross hairs in the coming sessions if we face a move below 1.1220.


    * GBPUSD has been stable at the upper 1.29 level, still unable to break through 1.30, fluctuating between the 1.3006 and 1.2960, which are Resistance and Support (PP) level respectively. Indicators are giving negative signals.


    Main Macro Events Today


    * Housing Data (USD, GMT 12:30) – Both Building Permits and Housing Starts are expected to have increased in March, by 1.299M and 1.230M respectively, up from 1.291M and 1.162M in February.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  4. #244
    Senior Trader
    Join Date
    Jun 2014
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    Date : 22nd April 2019.


    Events to Look Out for Next Week.






    The shortened week starts with just one piece of news on Monday and Tuesday from the US, while Wednesday will be in focus as the UK Parliament returns from its Easter recess. US Durable Goods are out on Thursday along with the BoJ rate decision.


    Wednesday – 24 April 2019


    * CPI (AUD, GMT 01:30) – Australia’s inflation rate for Q1 is expected to have declined slightly to 1.7% y/y compared to 1.8% y/y in the final quarter of 2018.


    * IFO (EUR, GMT 08:00) – Business climate in the largest EU country is expected to have grown marginally to 99.9 compared to 99.6 last month.


    * Event of the week – BoC Interest Rate Decision (CAD, GMT 14:00) – At the BoC meeting, consensus expectations are that there should be no interest rate change. A sharper and more broadly based slowdown in the domestic economy, alongside a slowing in the global economy that has been more pronounced and widespread than anticipated saw the Bank state “the outlook continues to warrant a policy interest rate that is below its neutral range.”


    Thursday – 25 April 2019


    * Event of the week – Interest Rate Decision (JPY, GMT 02:00) – Among the core central banks, BoJ is firmly poised to be “low for longest”. Hence, once again BoJ is expected to keep the interest rate as it is, given that it appears to have finally had an impact on the Japanese economy.


    Durable Goods (USD, GMT 12:30) – March durable goods orders are expected to rise 0.2%, following a 1.6% February decline. Shipments expected to fall 1.5% in March, after a 0.2% reading in February.


    * Tokyo CPI and Production Data (JPY, GMT 23:30) – The country’s main leading indicator of inflation is expected to have remained at 1.1% y/y in April. Industrial Production is expected to have improved, growing by 0.6% m/m in March, compared to -1.1% m/m in February, while Retail Sales are expected to have increased by 1.2% y/y, compared to 0.6% in March.


    Friday – 26 April 2019


    * US Gross Domestic Product (USD, GMT 12:30) – The economy’s most important figure, Q1 GDP is expected to rise 2.6%, following a 2.2% pace in Q4 and 3.4% growth in Q3.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  5. ARIONFORXtarder
 

 
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