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  1. #811
    Golden Trader
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    Date : 13th January 2022.


    Market Update – January 13.



    Trading Leveraged Products is risky


    Trading was lackluster on Wednesday and consolidative mid-week as the markets equilibrate to the new reality with the FOMC on the move to normalize. Sentiment has turned cautious again and Asian equity markets are narrowly mixed at the moment, with indices struggling to add to yesterday’s gain. Chinese tech stocks retreated after jumping yesterday and troubles at China’s property firms have come back in focus ahead of a wave of key payments.


    * USD (USDIndex 94.80) – dips breaking the 2-months range – inflation ( the biggest jump since June 1982) didnt surprise and kept intact expectations for the Fed’s tapering or timeline for the first rate rise as early as March.
    * US Yields 10-yr at 1.74%.
    Chinese property developer Sunac China Holdings Ltd plans to raise HK$4.52 billion ($580.09 million) from a share sale for repayment of loans and general corporate purposes
    * Real estate developers extend declines in afternoon trading amid a Bloomberg report that several of the nation’s biggest banks have become more selective about funding real estate projects by local government financing vehicles.
    Equities -Topix and JPN225 meanwhile are down -0.7% and -1% respectively. The ASX managed to move up 0.5%, but Hang Seng and CSI 300 are down -0.07% and -1.4% respectively
    * USOil – slips at 81.58 from 82.40 highs, after EIA inventory data showed fuel demand has taken a hit from Omicron.
    * Gold -steady above $1820, as the US dollar and Treasury yields retreated after inflation data reinforced the need for quicker interest rate hikes.
    * Prime Minister Boris Johnson apologised for attending a party in the Downing Street garden during a coronavirus lockdown.
    * FX markets – EURUSD at 1.1449, USDJPY steady at 115.30, Cable at 1.3711,the pound generally supported amid signs that PM Johnson managed to survive yet another scandal.


    European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is down -8 ticks, US futures are also lower. In cash markets the 10-year Treasury has pared earlier gains and is unchanged on the day at 1.74% at the moment. Stocks mostly corrected in Asia, with the rally in tech stocks running out of steam after a cautious close higher on Wall Street yesterday. Central bank moves and virus developments remain in focus and while GER30 and UK100 futures are posting fractional gains, U.S. futures are broadly lower.


    Today – The data calendar today bring December PPI and weekly jobless claims. There are some ECB speakers scheduled.





    Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) NZDUSD (+0.44%) extends above R1, to 0.6880 high. Fast MAs alighed higher, with MACD rising, RSI at 74 and stochastics sloping northwards.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #812
    Golden Trader
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    Date : 14th January 2022.


    Market Update – January 14 – USD longs trimmed positions.



    Trading Leveraged Products is risky


    The market has well priced in elevated inflation and an all but assured March rate liftoff, hence taking in stride a record clip in core PPI at 8.3% y/y and the drop in continuing jobless claims to 1,559k, the lowest since before the pandemic. Markets trimmed long positions and deemed, for now, that several US rate hikes this year are fully priced in.


    * USD (USDIndex 94.73) – found a floor above 94.50.
    * US Yields 10-yr has lifted 2.0 bp to 1.72% overnight, as hawkish Fedspeak continued to fuel tightening speculation. – Fed Brainard acknowledged that she too could vote for a March rate hike.
    * The Bank of Korea added to the hawkish tone by hiking the key rate to 1.25% from 1.00% and signalling that more moves could be on the way. Bank of Japan is deliberating how it can start telegraphing an eventual rate hike. – Yen on bid.
    * China’s trade data showed a marked slowdown in both export and import growth.
    * Equities – tightening speculation has put pressure on stocks. GER30 and UK100 are down -0.4%. USA100 dropped -2.5%, JPN225 corrected -1.3%.
    * UK economy stronger than expected before Omicron. Monthly GDP data for November were a positive surprise, with a rise of 0.9% m/m that compensated somewhat for the disappointing October reading.
    * USOil – at 81.68 after 80.75 bottom, amid concerns on Chinese fuel demand & whether US government will act to cool oil prices.
    * Gold & Silver – best weekly rise since November – remains however below the key $1835 barrier.
    * FX markets – EURUSD at 1.1482, USDJPY down at 113.63, Cable at 1.3725.


    European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is down -6 ticks, broadly in line with moves in Treasury futures, while both the Schatz and the 30-year futures outperformed. The UK already signalled that virus measures will be relaxed further in coming weeks, which will add to the arguments of the hawkish camp at the BoE.


    Today – Headlining is the ECB Lagarde speech and US December retail sales report.





    Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-0.40%) breaks below 20-day SMA at 82.60 (50-DMA). Fast MAs aligned lower, with MACD lines negatively configured, RSI at 36 but stochastics pointing higher suggesting correction.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  3. ARIONFORXtarder
 

 
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