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  1. #301
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    Date : 9th July 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 9th July 2019.






    FX News Today


    * Stock markets remain cautious ahead of Powell’s testimony, after jobs data reduced hopes of big rate cuts from the Fed.


    * Tech stocks were hit by a slump in Apple Inc. after a broker downgrade.


    * Topix and Nikkei pared early gains in the course of the session and are currently down -0.22% and up 0.06% respectively.


    * Central bank expectations remain a major force for stock market moves, amid lingering geopolitical trade tensions, which are far from over despite the restart of US-Sino talks.


    * European futures as well as US futures are down -0.3-0.4% with the Nasdaq underperforming.


    * In Europe, BTPs are currently outperforming, but Greek bonds, which rallied yesterday on the election result, are paring some of the gains.


    * Released overnight, UK BRC retail sales came in weaker than expected and fell back -1.6% m/m in the same store measure. Still to come are Italian retail sales numbers and an I/L auction in Germany.


    * Oil prices meanwhile continue to hold in the USD 57-58 range, with the WTI future currently trading at USD 57.50.


    Charts of the Day





    Technician’s Corner


    * GBPUSD retests again the 6-month low into EU open, at 1.2483. EURGBP remained buoyant, but markets still lacked the muster for a test of the recent six-month high at 0.8992. A 0.3% m/m contraction in the Halifax measure of UK house prices (released Friday) was the latest in a series of data disappointments out of the UK. As for Brexit, the news flow has remains quiet in terms of substantive developments. That will change as soon as the new prime minister, most likely no-deal-Brexit-if-necessary Boris Johnson, takes up the reigns (which will be later in the month). Cable has resistance at 1.2510-20. Next Support at 1.2420.


    * Silver: Despite the decline seen the last 2 days, Silver manage to be held above the 20- and 50-week SMA, sustaining more than 50% of the gains seen in June. Breaching the uptrend Support at 14.90 and also the small bounce up to 15.10 suggest that the corrective pressure is growing again. The RSI is sloping to the upside again but still remains below 50 in the daily chart, while MACD remains within the positive area following a bear cross last week. The key level at $15.10 is now a Resistance whilst traction below the $14.90 would open $14.60 as the next Support. A break above Resistance couls retest the $15.25-$15.35 area.


    Main Macro Events Today


    * Fed Chair Powell Speech on Boston (USD, GMT 12:45)


    * JOLTS Job Openings (USD, GMT 14:00) – JOLTS define Job Openings as all positions that have not be filled on the last business day of the month. May’s JOLTS job openings is expected to rise slightly at 7.479M, following the 7.44M in April.


    Support and Resistance levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #302
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    Date : 10th July 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 10th July 2019.






    FX News Today


    * Markets take a defensive stance ahead of Powell’s testimony to Congress and the release of the minutes from the last Fed meeting.


    * Speaking overnight Atlanta Fed President Bostic said the central bank is debating the risks and benefits of letting the economy run a “little hotter” and while most are still expecting a 25 bp “insurance cut” this month, there are fears that Powell may close the door to rate cut hopes.


    * GER30 and UK100 futures are narrowly mixed and US futures slightly in the red, after a mixed session in Asia overnight.


    * KOSPI and KOSDAQ recovered as Japan and South Korea said they are planning talks on the trade tensions. Japan’s new export restrictions on materials vital to South Korea’s tech industry, and hopes of thawing relations helped KOSDAQ to gain 1.6%, elsewhere moves were pretty muted.


    * Eurozone peripheral markets are outperforming, but yields are also up across Italy, Spain and Portugal.


    * Trade risks, US-Iran tensions and in Europe the risk of a no-deal Brexit scenario keep markets looking to central banks for support.


    * The WTI future meanwhile surged to $58.76 per barrel, after US data showed another drop in stock piles, which dampened concerns about oversupply.


    Charts of the Day





    Technician’s Corner


    * EURGBP has forayed above 0.9000 for the first time since early January while Cable has descended into 27-month low territory. EURGBP has now made this the 8th week out of the last nine where a new higher high has been set. The Pound has been trading with a 10-15% trade-weighted Brexit discount since the vote to leave the EU in June 2016.


    * USDJPY was stopped in its tracks at 6-week highs of 108.96, the level coinciding with the 50-day Moving Average. Profit taking ensued, which took the pairing to 108.76 lows in early NY and Asia session. In addition to the noted technical resistance, Japanese exporter offers are reportedly parked from the 109.00 level, which should help cap gains going forward.


    Main Macro Events Today


    * Gross Domestic Product, Manufacturing & Industrial Production (GBP, GMT 08:30) – The GDP is the economy’s most important figure. May’s GDP is expected to be lower at -0.7% m/m following the -0.4% reading from last month. Meanwhile, Industrial and Manufacturing Production will be out as well. These two indices are expected to have increased, with industrial output providing an upwards contribution of 1.5% m/m in February, while manufacturing is projected to have risen to 2.3% from its -3.9% last month.


    * Event of the week – Interest rate Decision and Conference (CAD, GMT 14:00) –Last time, Bank of Canada held the policy rate setting steady at 1.75%, matching widespread expectations, while the statement was largely optimistic in terms of the growth outlook. The expectations remain for no change of the policy outlook from the BoC through year-end, with the next move expected to be a modest rate hike in late 2020.


    * FOMC Meeting Minutes (USD, GMT 18:00) -The FOMC Minutes report provides the FOMC Members’ opinions regarding the US economic outlook and any views regarding future rate hikes. In the last FOMC statement, on June 19, FOMC left rates unchanged but the statement, which removed the word “patient”, along with the inflation outlook, the dot-plot, and Bullard’s dissent in favor of easing, made for a dovish stance.


    Support and Resistance levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  3. #303
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    Date : 11th July 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 11th July 2019.






    FX News Today


    * FOMC minutes of the June meeting were a little anti-climactic following Fed Chair Powell’s testimony. However, there were “many” indications that an easier policy stance was the more desired outcome.


    * 10-year Treasury yields dropped -2.3 bp to 2.039% overnight, and reopened soft, stopped at 2.064% tailing out from 2.057%.


    * US stocks rise, yields drop, Powell’s testimony supported rate cut expectations.


    * The S&P 500 briefly topped the 3000 mark for the first time, but the index didn’t manage to hold these levels as stocks generally came off highs.


    * USD lower as Powell signals July FOMC rate cut.


    * The WTI future is trading at $60.57 per barrel, amid reports that Iranian boats attempted to “impede” the passage of a British tanker.showed another drop in stock piles, which dampened concerns about oversupply.


    Charts of the Day





    Technician’s Corner


    * FX Update: The USD posted fresh lows during the pre-Europe session in Asia as markets continued to readjust Fed easing expectations in the wake of Chairman Powell’s testimony yesterday, which was consistent with a 25 bp rate cut at the end of this month with an addendum stipulating that the Fed has the tools needed and could use them “aggressively” if necessary. The narrow trade-weighted USD index (DXY) has declined by about 0.6% over the last day, earlier printing a six-day low at 96.90, while EURUSD rose to a six-day high at 1.1280 and USDJPY posted a six-day low at 107.86. The US currency saw a similar magnitude of decline against other currencies. In the mix has been an unexpected upward revision to June German HICP, to 1.5% y/y from 1.3% y/y, while news that Iran tried to intercept a British tanker in the Strait of Hormuz (London claiming that its navel ship HMS Montrose saw off three Iranian vessels with “verbal warnings”) saw front-month WTI crude prices spike above $60.0, the first time above this level since late May.


    Main Macro Events Today


    * Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (EUR, GMT 06:00) – The German HICP inflation is expected to hold at 1.3% y/y for June.


    * Consumer Price Index and Core (USD, GMT 12:30) – May’s CPI has been estimated at a -0.1% drop for headline PPI in June, and a 0.2% rise in the core index. As expected readings would result in a y/y gain of 1.4% for headline PPI, slowing from a 1.8% pace in May, and a 2.1% y/y rise for the core, versus 2.3% in May.


    * Fed Chair Powell Testimony 2nd day (USD, GMT 14:00)


    Support and Resistance levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  4. #304
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    Date : 12th July 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 12th July 2019.






    FX News Today


    * Treasuries recovered during the Asian session after better than expected data and a weak auction put pressure on bonds yesterday.


    * Bonds across Asia were under pressure though and JGB yields moved up 2.6 bp to -0.121%, while Australia’s 10-year yield jumped 12.0 bp to 1.450%.The RBA already cut rates to record lows and comments from the central bank governor yesterday didn’t sound as though the bank was readying further easing at the moment, which.


    * Stock markets were cautious ahead of trade and lending data out of China today, which are expected to set the tone for GDP numbers out on Monday.


    * With Powell’s testimony out of the way the focus is shifting back to the impact of trade tensions and after Singapore reported the weakest GDP growth number in a decade investors are holding back before taking fresh positions especially after a tweet by US President Trump saying China was not living up to promises made on buying agricultural products from the US.


    * Indices swung between gains and losses overnight and Topix and Nikkei are currently down -0.19% and up 0.15% respectively.


    * European stock futures are moving higher in tandem with US futures.


    .* The WTI future is trading at $60.67 per barrel, amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.


    Charts of the Day





    Technician’s Corner


    * EURUSD spiked to 1.1274 in Asia session after knocking lower following the warmer US CPI outcome. Looking ahead, the Dollar is likely to remain in sell-the-rally mode ahead of the July FOMC meeting, where a 25 basis point rate cut is widely expected. EURUSD support is now at the 50-day Moving Average at 1.1240, with resistance at 1.1287-95, the July 5 and July 4 highs.


    * USDCAD drifted lower to 1.3023 area as WTI future is rading at USD 60.58 per barrel, amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Next Support stands at 1.2970-1.2990.


    Main Macro Events Today


    * Producer Price Index (USD, GMT 12:30) – The Headline PPI is expected to hold at 0.1% in June, and at 0.2% in the core index. These readings would keep in a y/y gain of 1.4% for headline PPI. We see y/y headline readings in a 1.3%-1.9% range over coming months, while core prices should be in a 2.1%-2.5% range.


    * Fed Chair Powell Testimony 2nd day (USD, GMT 14:00)


    Support and Resistance levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  5. #305
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    Date : 15th July 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 15th June 2019.






    * Trade warring and slowing global growth have set the scene for a possible earnings recession, which could catalyze a risk-off phase in global markets. Therefore next week’s inflation data out of some of the major economies, Australia’s employment report and China’s 2Q19 GDP report could be the highlights in the coming week. Another focus is the upcoming Q2 corporate earnings season, which will get into gear next week with “show and tells” from the banking sector.


    Monday – 15 July 2019


    * China Gross Domestic Product (CNY, GMT 02:00)- Chinese GDP is projected to see additional moderation to a 6.2% y/y pace in Q2, from the 6.4% y/y growth rate in Q1. The economy has grown at a 6.2% pace so far in 2019, while it was at a 6.6% pace for all of 2018, leaving the slowest growth rate since the 3.9% clip in 1990. It grew 6.8% in 2017.


    * Consumer Price Index (NZD, GMT 22:45) – New Zealand inflation is expected to rise by 1.7% y/y in Q2, edging higher than the 1.5% observed in Q1.


    Tuesday – 16 July 2019


    * Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (AUD, GMT 01:30) – The RBA has already cut rates to record lows and comments from the central bank governor yesterday didn’t sound as though the bank was readying further easing at the moment. Minutes are expected to shed further light regarding future easing stance.


    * Average Earnings (GBP, GMT 08:30) – Average Earnings excluding bonus for May expected to slightly increase at 3.2% from 3.1% last month.


    * ZEW Economic Sentiment (EUR, GMT 09:00) – Economic Sentiment for July is expected to be released at -19.0 compared to -21.1 last month.


    * Retail Sales and Core (USD, GMT 12:30) – 0.2% June retail sales gains are expected for both with and without autos, following 0.5% May gains for both measures. Unit vehicle sales ticked down to a 17.3 mln pace in June from an upwardly-revised 17.4 mln clip in May, and gasoline prices should provide a drag on retail activity given an estimated -3.5% figure for the CPI for gasoline. Real consumer spending is expected to grow at a 3.9% rate in Q2, following the 0.9% Q1 clip.


    Wednesday – 17 July 2019


    * Consumer Price Index (GBP, GMT 08:30) – May CPI came in on the nose at 2.0% y/y, ebbing from 2.1% y/y in April and marking a return to the upper bound of the BoE’s target. Next week’s reading for June is expected to remain unchanged. The same stands for core CPI.


    * Consumer Price Index (EUR, GMT 09:00) – The Euro Area CPI for June is expected to hold steady at 0.3% m/m, with the headline inflation at 1.2% y/y unchanged from the previous month. Still, as the weakness in manufacturing is now starting to reach the labour market, this means the prospect that underlying inflation pressures will build up soon look slim. This will keep the ECB on course for additional easing measures, unless there are major breakthroughs on the US-Sino trade and the Brexit front.


    * Consumer Price Index and Core (CAD, GMT 12:30) – CPI is expected to decline at a 2.1% y/y pace in June.


    * Housing Data (USD, GMT 12:30) – Housing starts should slow to a 1.260 mln pace in June, after a dip to 1.269 mln in May. Permits are expected to improve to 1.300 mln in June, after rising to 1.299 mln in May. Overall, we see a stronger trajectory for starts with a positive but slower pace for permits, as starts play catch-up with the higher permits trajectory.


    Thursday – 18 July 2019


    * Employment Data (AUD, GMT 00:30) – Australian labour market data is expected to deteriorate, as the employment is anticipated at 10K from 42.3K in May.


    Friday – 19 July 2019


    * Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (USD, GMT 14:00) – The main US consumer confidence index is expected to ease to 93.0 in March, compared to 93.8 in February.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  6. #306
    Senior Trader
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    Date : 16th July 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 16th July 2019.






    FX News Today


    * Treasury yields steadied during the Asian session, with bonds erasing overnight gains and the 10-year yield now up 0.3 bp at 2.092%. JGB yields also backed up from lows and are down -0.1 bp at -0.129%, after returning from holiday, while yields declined in Australia and New Zealand after the minutes of the last RBA meeting showed the bank remains ready to adjust policy if needed.


    * Stock markets meanwhile struggled in very light volumes as markets hold back ahead of key US data and earnings reports this week.


    * On trade talks US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said he and Trade-Representative Lighthizer may travel to Beijing if talks by phone this week are productive.


    * The WTI future is trading below $60 per barrel and U.S. futures are posting marginal gains.


    * In Europe, the GER30 future is currently slightly higher as are US futures, which UK100 futures are in the red, amid ongoing Brexit jitters as Boris Johnson, poised to succeed as PM next week, puts no-deal options firmly back on the table.


    * Last week’s round of Brexit negotiators was reportedly one of the most difficult encounters of the last 3 years.


    * Meanwhile JP Morgan, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and Taiwan Semiconductor are among the companies reporting results this weeks.


    Charts of the Day





    Technician’s Corner


    * EURUSD has been held between its 20-day Moving Average of 1.1295 and its 50-day Moving Average at 1.1242 since Friday. A 25 basis point Fed rate cut at the end of the month has been priced into EURUSD, and focus now may shift to the ECB, where further stimulus could be in the cards at its next meeting on July 25, keeping EURUSD capped for the time being.


    * USDJPY broke earlier today its 20-day Moving Average at 107.95, after printing 8-session high from 107.80 during the overnight Asian session. The mixed risk backdrop has limited the pairing’s gains since last week, as Wall Street trades on either side of flat, and Treasury yields remain pressured. The July 5 low of 107.76 remains a floor for the asset, while next Resistance stands at 108.20 and 108.50


    Main Macro Events Today


    * Average Earnings (GBP, GMT 08:30) – Average Earnings excluding bonus for May expected to slightly increase at 3.2% from 3.1% last month.


    * ZEW Economic Sentiment (EUR, GMT 09:00) – Economic Sentiment for July is expected to be released at -19.0 compared to -21.1 last month.


    * Retail Sales and Core (USD, GMT 12:30) – 0.2% June retail sales gains are expected for both with and without autos, following 0.5% May gains for both measures. Unit vehicle sales ticked down to a 17.3 mln pace in June from an upwardly-revised 17.4 mln clip in May, and gasoline prices should provide a drag on retail activity given an estimated -3.5% figure for the CPI for gasoline. Real consumer spending is expected to grow at a 3.9% rate in Q2, following the 0.9% Q1 clip.


    Support and Resistance levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.





    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  7. #307
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    Date : 17th July 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 17th July 2019.






    FX News Today


    * Stronger than expected US retail sales data put some pressure on bond markets.


    * However, Equities turned lower as trade uncertainty returns.


    * After the Chicago Fed President Evans flagged two rate cuts this year and US President Trump threatened to put another USD 325 bln of tariffs on Chinese goods, Stock markets were nervous and risk aversion lingered.


    * US stock futures are posting fractional gains and Topix and Nikkei are currently down -0.05% and -0.27% respectively.


    * Released overnight, a -17.3% decline in Singapore non-oil exports highlighted the damaging impact of global trade tensions.


    * WTI crude dives near 3%, after Pompeo indicated that Iran is willing to negotiate on missiles. Oil prices are now trading at USD 57.69 per barrel, on yesterday’s indications that US-Iran tensions could be easing.


    * Germany’s Von der Leyen confirmed as new EU Commission President. Von der Leyen will succeed Juncker and IMF head Lagarde today is tendering her resignation as her nomination for Draghi’s post looks more certain


    * Bunds rallied from the off today and European stock futures are in the red after a mixed session in Asia, despite the prospect of additional easing measures.


    * Bank of America and Netflix are due to report results today.


    Charts of the Day





    Technician’s Corner


    * USOIL: WTI crude has fallen 3% on the session following comments from US Secretary of State Pompeo in a cabinet meeting, who said for the first time, Iran is prepared to negotiate on its missile program. This news may signal a shift of policy in Iran, perhaps set to lower geopolitical tensions in the Mideast. The WTI contract has fallen from earlier highs just over $60.00 to $57.06 lows. Support now holds at $57.30 and $56.30. Resistance is set at $58.07 and $58.75.


    Main Macro Events Today


    * Consumer Price Index (GBP, GMT 08:30) – May CPI came in on the nose at 2.0% y/y, ebbing from 2.1% y/y in April and marking a return to the upper bound of the BoE’s target. Next week’s reading for June is expected to remain unchanged. The same stands for core CPI.


    * Consumer Price Index (EUR, GMT 09:00) – The Euro Area CPI for June is expected to hold steady at 0.3% m/m, with the headline inflation at 1.2% y/y unchanged from the previous month. Still, as the weakness in manufacturing is now starting to reach the labour market, this means the prospect that underlying inflation pressures will build up soon look slim. This will keep the ECB on course for additional easing measures, unless there are major breakthroughs on the US-Sino trade and the Brexit front.


    * Consumer Price Index and Core (CAD, GMT 12:30) – CPI is expected to decline at a 2.1% y/y pace in June.


    * Housing Data (USD, GMT 12:30) – Housing starts should slow to a 1.260 mln pace in June, after a dip to 1.269 mln in May. Permits are expected to improve to 1.300 mln in June, after rising to 1.299 mln in May. Overall, we see a stronger trajectory for starts with a positive but slower pace for permits, as starts play catch-up with the higher permits trajectory.


    Support and Resistance levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  8. #308
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    Date : 18th July 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 18th July 2019.






    FX News Today


    * Bonds were supported by ongoing trade concerns, with the tensions between Japan and South Korea add to the lingering concerns about US-Sino relations.


    * A WSJ report suggesting that trade negotiations between the US and China are at a “standstill.” This was followed by fresh evidence of the impact that trade tensions have been having, with Japanese trade data revealing a worse-than-expected 6.7% y/y contraction in exports, which have shrank for seven straight months now.


    * South Korea’s central bank unexpectedly cut interest rates and said it has room to act again.


    * The Fed’s Beige Book still said economic activity “continued to expand at a modest pace”, but globally central banks are clearly preparing for a marked slowdown as trade tensions bite.


    * Concerns about a weak earnings season are putting pressure on stock markets.


    * The USA100 futures dipped -0.6% so far after Netflix Inc posted a surprise loss of US customers.


    * The GER30 future is underperforming as well amid a broad based decline in European and US stock futures after a weak session in Asia overnight.


    * The WTI future meanwhile is trading at $56.70 per barrel.


    * Fears of a no deal Brexit scenario also continue to cloud over the outlook but while the ECB is expected to at least introduce an official easing bias next week, before cutting rates in September.


    * ECB’s Villeroy highlighted this morning that central banks can’t perform miracles and need help from politicians and fiscal policies.


    Charts of the Day





    Technician’s Corner


    * EURUSD recovered slightly from 7-session lows of 1.1200, peaking at 1.1243. Brexit concerns have weighed on economic activity on the continent as well as the UK, and could limit Euro gains going forward. Risk for the EUR comes from the ECB as well, with a shift to an explicit easing bias expected by many at next week’s meeting, or at subsequent meetings. EURUSD support comes at 1.1218-1.1229, with Resistance at the 61.8% Fib. level from 2-week peak, at 1.1250-1.1252.


    Main Macro Events Today


    * Retail Sales (USD, GMT 08:30) – A -0.3%m/m contraction is expected for June retail sales, following 0.5% May loss. In the y/y comparison, sales are anticipated at 2.6% from 2.3%.


    * Initial jobless claims (USD, GMT 12:30) – The initial jobless claims for the week of July 13 are estimated to fall to 204k, after falling to 209k in the week of July 6. Claims should average 215k in July, down from 222k in June and a 217k in May.


    * Philly Fed Index (USD, GMT 12:30) – The Empire State index is estimated to rebound to 6.0 in July from -8.6 in June, which marked a 33-month low for the series. The producer sentiment readings all moderated through the turn of the year from elevated levels in response to global growth concerns, falling petroleum prices, fears about the ongoing trade war, and the partial government shutdown.


    Support and Resistance levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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