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  1. #181
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    Date : 25th January 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 25th January 2019.






    FX News Today


    * 10-year Treasury yields are up 1.6 bp at 2.732% while JGB yields fell back -0.4 bp to -0.008%, despite broad gains on Asian stock markets overnight.


    * Topix and Nikkei managed gains of 0.87% and 0.97% respectively. The Hang Seng is up 1.44% and the CSI 300 1.23%. The ASX climbed 0.8%, lifted by higher commodity prices.


    * Earnings reports have helped to prop up market sentiment this week, despite the fact that economists and central banks are now catching up with the gloomy view on the outlook for world growth that already sent markets lower at the end of last year.


    * The global cyclical chip sector seems to be recovering, which is underpinning tech stocks.


    * US and European stock futures are also posting broad gains, suggesting an overall positive end to the week, with markets now bracing for key events next week including the continuation of US-Sino trade talks as well as the Fed meeting.


    * ECB’s Coeure commented that it’s too early to discuss whether ECB will hike rates this year, while adding that the central bank may have to adjust rate guidance at some point. Coeure admitted in a Bloomberg interview that the economic slowdown has surprised the central bank although he also added that the jury is still out on how persistent the slowdown will be.


    Charts of the Day





    Main Macro Events Today


    * Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count – Oil Rigs stood at 852 last week, with the number of drills highly dependent on the price of Oil.


    * US Monthly Budget Statement – In view of the US government shutdown, the Budget Statement in December is expected to be much lower than the previous month, at a deficit of 12 billion, compared to a deficit of 205 billion in November.


    * World Economic Forum at Davos – The third day of the WEF annual meetings held in Davos and attended by officials from over 90 countries. Comments from central bankers and other influential officials can create significant market volatility.


    * German Ifo Business Climate – Following the slowdown in the German economy, business climate is expected to decline to 100.7 compared to 101.0 in the previous month.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Dr Nektarios Michail
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #182
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    Date : 28th January 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 28th January 2019.






    FX News Today


    * 10-year Treasury yields corrected from Friday’s highs and are down -1.8 bp at 2.740%.


    * Stock markets in Asia initially got support from US President Trump’s agreement to a temporary end to the 35-day partial government shutdown which underpinned Wall Street on Friday.


    * However, Trump also threatened to resume the shutdown on Feb 15 if his demands on the financing of a border wall are not met.


    * Japan underperformed and Topix and Nikkei were under pressure from the off, while elsewhere gains faded during the course of the session as markets continue to fret over potential risk factors, first and foremost the US-Sino trade talks and Brexit.


    * Topix and Nikkei lost -0.68% and -0.60% respectively. The Hang Seng is now down -0.105 and the CSI 300 down -0.06%.


    * Australia is shut for a holiday and US futures are heading south.


    * Oil prices fell back from a session high of USD 53.64 per barrel and the front end WTI future is now at USD 53.01 per barrel.


    Charts of the Day





    Main Macro Events Today


    * ECB Draghi Speech (EUR, GMT 14:00) – The ECB President is due to testify at the European Parliament in Brussels.


    * New Zealand Trade Balance (NZD, GMT 22:45) – The New Zealand trade balance is expected to have come out in surplus area in December, compared to a deficit in November.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Dr Nektarios Michail
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  3. #183
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    Date : 29th January 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 29th January 2019.






    FX News Today


    * US equities turned lower after a miss by CAT and warning from Nvidia, both partly blaming the global slowdown and China in particular for their woes;yields back down.


    * Criminal charges in the US against Chinese telecom giant Huawei overshadow trade talks and prevent a long-awaited US-Sino deal.


    * Topix and Nikkei lost -0.63% and -0.47% respectively.


    * Brexit at complex crossroads in UK; today’s parliamentary votes may clear picture


    * Oil prices are higher and the front end WTI future is trading at USD 52.43 per barrel.


    * EURUSD recovered to clear 1.14, up from last week’s 6-wk low at 1.1289.


    * USDJPY came off highs, concurrently with correction in global stock markets.


    Charts of the Day





    Main Macro Events Today


    * Brexit:
    *A number of amendments are due to be voted today in Parliament, including ones that seek to either delay Brexit from March 29, or to legislate against there being a no-deal Brexit, or opens the way to a second referendum on EU membership.


    *Parliament is also due to vote on the Prime Minister May’s Withdrawal Agreement, which lacking a concession from the EU to write-in an amendment that legally time limits the Irish backstop, or allows the UK to unilaterally withdraw from it, looks set to be rejected.


    *A no-deal Brexit scenario remains a possibility, although May, while using it as a threat, will likely ultimately prevent it, as will Parliament.


    * US Consumer Confidence – Expectations –January consumer confidence is expected to decline further to 126.0 from a prior 5-month low of 128.1 in December, versus an 18-year high of 137.9 in October.


    * Japanese Retail Trade – Expectations – December retail sales are seen contracting at a -1.0% y/y from -2.2% for large retailers. Total sales are expected to slow further to a 1.0% y/y rate from 1.4% in November and 3.6% in October.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  4. #184
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    Date : 30th January 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 30th January 2019.






    FX News Today


    * Stock markets traded mixed in Asia – NASDAQ is outperforming, Nikkei lost -0.52% and UK100 futures are moving higher.


    * No more bad news from Apple: Apple Inc.’s report of sharp growth in its services business helped to underpin sentiment,.


    * Brexit: UK lawmakers didn’t vote to extend the Brexit deadline. PM May heads back to Brussels to re-negotiate backstop.


    * EU leaders were once again quick to stress that the legal text of the withdrawal agreement is not up for discussion.


    * French GDP numbers held up better than expected and German GfK consumer confidence unexpectedly jumped higher.


    * EURUSD ebbed back to net unchanged (1.1430) after posting 2-week high at 1.1451.


    * USDJPY stucks in the mid-to-low 109.0s.


    * GBPUSD is trading near 1.3100 from 1.3190 high.


    * The front end WTI future is trading at USD 53.42 per barrel.


    Charts of the Day





    Main Macro Events Today


    * German Jan HICP – Expectations -While the German HICP rates are above the Eurozone average now, base effects from lower energy prices continue to keep the headline rate below the ECB’s 2% limit. The preliminary January reading should be at 1.8% y/y .


    * ADP Employment – Expectations –The January ADP Employment report should reveal a 195k gain for the month, after a 271k December gain.


    * FOMC – Expectations – The FOMC statement will be released at 19:00 GMT. That will be followed by Chairman Powell’s press conference, which will now be a regular affair at each meeting, although forecasts will continue to be published quarterly. No one expects any action on rates tomorrow (including IOER). We expect the statement to include the new watchword “patient,” along with “flexible,” with the latter perhaps a nod to the balance sheet, and stress on data dependency.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  5. #185
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    Date : 31st January 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 31st January 2019.






    FX News Today


    * Asian stock markets rallied after the FOMC, which boosted risk appetite.


    * FOMC held policy steady and pledged to be patient with further interest rate hikes – a possible sign that the Fed is signalling a potential end to its tightening cycle.


    * Topix and Nikkei climbed 1.08% and 1.06% respectively.


    * US Equities firmed after Apple, Boeing, AMD results.


    * German Retail Sales slumped 4.3% m/m at the start of the European session. It raised concerns about the health of the German economy.


    * European futures are moving higher, in tandem with US futures, after a rally overnight.


    * WTI crude +2.0% near $54.50 after small EIA build.


    * USDIndex stumbled 0.45% to 95.40; EUR probed 1.15, JPY through 109.00.


    Charts of the Day





    Main Macro Events Today


    * Eurozone Prelim. Flash GDP – Expectations – Overall Eurozone GDP should show growth holding at 0.2% q/q, but with risk to the downside.


    * German and EU Unemployment Change – Expectations – A decline is anticipated in the German unemployment number of -4K. The December Eurozone unemployment rate is seen falling back to 7.8% from 7.9%.


    * Canadian GDP – Expectations – GDP for November is on track to contract 0.1% in November (m/m, sa) as the sharp decline in oil prices materially impacted the economy.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  6. #186
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    Date : 1st February 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 1st February 2019.






    FX News Today


    * US-Sino trade talks will continue later this month with the March 1 deadline for tariff hikes coming ever closer. Both sides sounded cautiously optimistic


    * Stock markets traded mixed in Asia. Topix and Nikkei closed with a gain of -0.18% and a marginal gain of 0.07% respectively.


    * China’s manufacturing PMI decline dropped to the lowest level since February 2016. This revived concerns about the country’s economic strength.


    * Earnings reports continue to come into the mix and banks were the biggest drag on Japanese benchmarks, while electronics makers gained.


    * European stock futures are moving higher and US futures are now also mostly up as the focus shifts to US jobs data.


    * The WTI rallied as much as 2%, peaking at two-plus month highs of $55.32 before falling back to the current $53.80.


    * EURUSD eased from 3-week highs, back to 1.1440 area. USDJPY is above 2-week lows and currently retesting 109.


    Charts of the Day





    Main Macro Events Today


    * Eurozone Manuf. PMI – Expectations – January Eurozone Manufacturing PMI will likely be confirmed at just 50.5 from the preliminary print, dropping from December’s 51.4, with confidence data adding to concerns that the slowdown will be more protracted than initially expected.


    * Eurozone’s CPI – Expectations –Eurozone preliminary CPI reading for January should be at just 1.5% y/y, down from 1.6% y/y at the end of 2018.


    * US Nonfarm Payrolls and ISM Manu. PMI – Expectations – January nonfarm payrolls are expected to increase by 200k, with a 195k private payroll gain. The ISM is expected to slip to a new 2-year low of 54.0 in January from 54.3 in December, versus a 14-year high of 61.4 in August.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  7. #187
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    Forex Market News - U.S. Dollar Steadies Ahead of Fed Officials Comments


    The U.S. dollar steadied harshly Monday in Asia as traders await notes by a number of Federal Reserve officials this week.

    Having signaled another rate rises as recently as December, the U.S. central bank announced it is putting plans for additional rate hikes in the bank account to speaking retain and pledged to be "malleable" on the subject of different moves in its January meeting, citing muted inflation and rising risks to global economic adding together.

    Market watchers will be tuned in to comments by Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester Monday and St Louis Fed President James Bullard upon Friday. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is due to speak upon Wednesday, but it is indistinct if his comments will burning monetary policy.

    The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback subsequent to-door-door to a basket of optional accrual currencies was occurring 0.1% at 95.407 by 10:45 PM ET (03:45 GMT).

    Stronger-than-received U.S. jobs data were cited as providing preserve to the greenback today.

    The relation showed the U.S. economy created 304,000 added jobs, the highest in 11 months, beating forecasts for 165,000 jobs.

    The GBP/USD pair was tiny misrepresented at 1.3077. The Bank of England is traditional to allocation attraction rates keeps at its upcoming meeting regarding Thursday, together moreover growing uncertainty on the zenith of the prospect of Britain exiting the European Union going in the region of for March 29 gone no concord in place.

    Elsewhere, the AUD/USD pair was beside 0.2% at 0.7232. The Reserve Bank of Australia is scheduled to sticking to a policy meeting this week.

    The USD/JPY pair edged going on 0.1% at 109.61.

    Chinas financial markets are closed this week for the Lunar New Year holiday.

  8. #188
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    Date : 4th February 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 4th February 2019.






    FX News Today


    * 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.7 bp at 2.691%, and 10-year JGB yields climbed 0.8 bp to -0.023%.


    * Yields continue to move higher and Asian stock markets mostly managed modest gains in quiet trade, with China and South Korea closed for Lunar New Year celebrations.


    * Topix and Nikkei managed gains of 1.07% and 0.46% respectively, while the Hang Seng climbed 0.21% and the ASX closed up 0.48%. US futures are marginally higher.


    * US President Trump told CBS trade talks with China are “doing very well” and also sounded confident on an agreement with North Korea, which helped to underpin confidence and risk appetite, after strong US data releases on Friday dampened concern about the outlook for world growth and counterbalanced disappointing forecasts from Amazon.


    * Earnings reports will remain a key factor this week alongside fundamentals and political developments in Europe also, where Brexit concerns remain high on the agenda.


    Charts of the Day





    Main Macro Events Today


    * ECB Mersch Speech – Yves Mersch, a member of the ECB Executive Board will speak at Lamfalussy Lectures Conference of Lamfalussy Award at Central Bank of Hungary in Budapest.


    * UK Construction PMI – The UK PMI is expected to have stood at 52.6 in January, compared to 52.8 in December.


    * US Factory Orders – Factory Orders are expected to have grown by 0.2% in November, compared to -2.1% in October.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Dr Nektarios Michail
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  9. #189
    Senior Trader
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    Date : 5th February 2019.


    MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 5th February 2019.






    FX News Today


    * RBA left the cash rate on hold as expected and conceded that some downside risks have increased. RBA set to make subtle shift to the dovish side.


    * RBA’s central scenario for the economy is around 3% growth in 2019.


    * AUDUSD perked up to 0.7260 from 0.7204.


    * Alphabet beat on profits and revenue, by making $8.94 billion on $39.27 billion revenue, but shares fell 3% on continuing pressure on advertising prices and decreasing margins.


    * European stock futures are moving higher, while US futures are struggling and slightly in the red.


    * Better than expected BRC retail sales out of the UK helped to underpin sentiment ahead of Services PMI.


    * WTI retreated 1.2% to $54.0 area, down from 2019 highs of $55.74 bbl – Currently at $55.00 area.


    Charts of the Day





    Main Macro Events Today


    * Eurozone Services PMI – The overall Eurozone Services PMI for January is expected to come in unchanged from the preliminary number at 50.8, which should leave the composite at 50.7.


    * UK Service PMI – It is expected to come in with a headline of 51.0 after 51.2 in December.


    * EU Retail Sales – They are expected to have corrected -1.8% m/m, after the strong November reading.


    * US Service and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI – The ISM-NMI Index is expected to slip further to 57.5 in January from 58.0 in December, versus a 13-year high of 60.8 in September. Services PMI is expected to be unchanged at 54.2 for January.


    Support and Resistance Levels





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  10. #190
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    Dollar Exposed to Trump Striking Hawkish Tone at the State of Union


    The dollar could be vulnerable if President Donald Trump comes out vacillation when mention to trade and risks choice doling out shutdown in his State of the Union ablaze.


    Sentiment inversion to the U.S. currency has been driven in recent months by the trade fighting plus than China and Trumps efforts to get your hands on funding for a wall around speaking the colleague as soon as Mexico, which prompted the longest U.S. position shutdown in records. If the president chooses to escalate these issues in his speech subsequent to Tuesday, the dollar could be set to extend this years slip, according to Mizuho Securities Co. and Westpac Banking Corp.


    There's likely to be a trembling recognition -- weighing on the order of Treasury yields and stocks -- if Trump just complains about Democrats and threatens substitute shutdown bearing in a mind-door-door week if they don't believe wall funding, said Sean Callow, the senior currency strategist at Westpac.


    The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a gauge of the greenback nearby its major peers, has fallen following reference to 1 percent this year, as U.S. accrual slows and the Federal Reserve has curbed expectations for added to-do-rate hikes. Ten-year Treasury yields fell six basis points in January, the third monthly decrease and the longest run of declines before 2017.


    Both Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) and Nomura International Plc see dollar disease becoming a negative spiral if foreign investors lose faith in returns from dollar assets.


    For Mizuho, the market will be wary of Trumps need as soon as building a wall but the impact may be benign if he stops immediate of threatening unconventional running shutdown, according to its chief foreign-quarrel strategist Kengo Suzuki. The same applies to his remarks upon China.


    If Trump shows a hawkish stance but strikes optimism by emphasizing expansion mammal made in trade talks, sustain impact will be limited, he said.

  11. ARIONFORXtarder
 

 
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