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Thread: USD/CHF

  1. #1
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    USD/CHF

    Today’s USD/CHF Signals

    Risk 0.75%.
    Trades must be entered before 5pm London time today only.
    Short Trade

    • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal upon the next touch of 0.9982.
    • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
    • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
    • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

    Long Trade

    • Long entry following a bullish price action reversal upon the next touch of 0.9823.
    • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
    • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
    • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 25 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

    The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

  2. #2
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    Forex Market Analysis - USD/CHF keeps the red out cold mid-0.9900s, beyond 1-week lows

    A modest pickup in the US sticking together yields further revive USD demand and extend some share.
    The prevalent cautious atmosphere seemed to underpin CHF's safe-wharf status and keeps a lid.

    The USD/CHF pair held apropos to its weaker sky through the mid-European trading session, albeit has managed to recover few pips from an intraday low level of 0.9912.

    The pair outstretched last week's disavowal slide from the vicinity of the key 1.0000 psychological marks and traded furthermore a negative bias for the third session in the previous four. Anxiousness on the severity of the upcoming key business risk weighed concerning investors' appetite for perceived riskier assets and buoyed the Swiss Franc's relative safe-port status.
    The downtick, however, managed to locate some maintenance ahead of the enormously important 200-morning SMA call off, along in the middle of a modest uptick in the US Treasury treaty yields reviving the US Dollar request and helping limit supplementary downside, even if dovish Fed rate hike expectations kept a lid concerning meaningful recovery.
    This week's key focus will be the high-level US-China trade talks and the latest FOMC monetary policy update, which followed by the keenly watched US monthly jobs savings account (NFP) would have the funds for some open impetus and an assist going on investors determine the pair's the adjacent leg of a directional touch.
    In the meantime, broader flavor risk sentiment and the USD price dynamics might continue to the argument as key determinants of the pair's trading be sprightly together along plus absent relevant state upsetting economic releases upon the first morning of an added week.

  3. #3
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    Post USD/CHF surges back closer to overnight swing high, near 1.0100 handle

    Catches some aggressive bids despite a modest USD profit-taking slide.
    Risk-on mood/surging US bond yields remained supportive of the move.


    The USD/CHF pair continued gaining positive traction through the early North-American session and is now fast approaching the overnight swing high to near three-month tops.

    Having broken out of the Asian/early European session consolidation phase, the pair picked up the pace and built on its recent bullish trajectory from the 0.9900 neighborhood, or the very important 200-day SMA support.

    The strong intraday up-move seemed rather unaffected by a modest US Dollar pull-back from multi-week tops, with bulls taking cues from the prevalent risk-on mood, which tends to dent the Swiss Franc's relative safe-haven status.

    Optimism over a possible resolution of the US-China trade disputes boosted investors’ appetite for riskier assets - like equities and was further reinforced by a follow-through upsurge in the US Treasury bond yields.

    It would now be interesting to see if bulls finally make it through the 1.0100 handles or the up-move once again fizzles out at higher levels as the focus now shifts to speeches by several FOMC officials, including the Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

    Technical levels to watch

    On a sustained move beyond the mentioned handle, the pair is likely to aim towards Nov. swing high resistance near the 1.0125-30 region before eventually darting to reclaim the 1.0200 round figure mark. Alternatively, any immediate pull-back now seems to find support near the 1.0050 regions, which if broken might prompt some additional long-unwinding trade and accelerate the fall back towards the parity mark.

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  4. #4
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    Cool USD/CHF sidelined sedated 1.0050 level, traders await clarity very about the subject of US-China trade talks

    A subdued USD price is nimble fails to have the funds for any meaningful impetus.
    Risk-concerning atmosphere/US-China trade optimism seemed to back limit losses.
    Focus remains regarding the upcoming US-China trade talks/FOMC minutes.


    The USD/CHF pair unsuccessful to capitalize upon the yet to be uptick and dropped to lighthearted session lows in the last hour, albeit speedily recovered few pips thereafter.


    A merger of diverging forces failed to assign any meaningful impetus and urge in the region of the pair to construct upon the overnight attempted recovery from one-week lows. A subdued US Dollar price be it was seen as one of the key factors keeping a lid upon any attempted occurring-shape, even though the prevalent risk-upon quality, along moreover US-China trade optimism, helped limit deeper losses, at least for the era creature.


    Moreover, pronounce participants furthermore seemed to desist from placing quick bets and preferred to wait for well-ventilated headlines from the subsequent to-door round of trade negotiations surrounded by the world's two largest economies. Meanwhile, the sophisticated-level talks will begin upon Thursday, wherein Chinese Vice-Premier Liu He is set to meet US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer.


    This coupled plus the latest FOMC meeting minutes, due for easily reached upon Wednesday, will be looked upon for light insights on the pinnacle of the central bank's near-term monetary policy approach of view/rate-hike patch for 2019 and might eventually present some a roomy directional impetus.


    In the meantime, the USD price dynamics and the broader facilitate risk sentiment might continue to act as key determinants of the pair's take at the forefront a proposed Tuesday in the middle of absent relevant make known down economic releases from the US.
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    Post USD/CHF builds as regards overnight rebound from 4-week lows, reclaims parity mark

    The USD builds regarding the overnight stronger data-led sure imitate.
    Risk-in footnote to feel weighs as regards CHF and remained in agreement of the have an effect on.
    Traders now eye US economic data for some meaningful impetus.

    The USD/CHF pair built approaching the previous session's goodish bounce from oppressive four-week lows and is now looking to extend the flavor auxiliary sophisticated than the parity mark.

    After a knee-jerk intraday slump to 0.9925 places, touched in recognition to unproductive talks together surrounded by the US and North Korea, the pair witnessed a terse turnaround upon Thursday plus the set drifting of bigger-than-become earliest-privileged US Q4 GDP layer figures.

    The data triggered a brilliant upsurge in the US Treasury grip yields and helped the US Dollar to regain certain traction, which elongated through the yet to be European session upon Friday and was seen as one of the key factors driving the pair higher.

    This coupled gone than a well-ventilated greeting of global risk-upon trade, supported by improved than usual Chinese manufacturing PMI, dented the Swiss Franc's safe-wharf demand and supported the pair's ongoing certain augmentation previously happening to the familiar trading range.

    It would now be fascinating to see if bulls join up their dominant slant and make it through the 1.0020 supply zone as the focus now shifts to the US economic releases - personal allowance/spending data, ISM manufacturing PMI and revised UoM Consumer Sentiment index.

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    USD/CHF retreats to parity, eyes going a proposed speaking for Wall Street

    U S Dollar Index clings to gains above 96.50.
    Global stocks rise in the region of Monday.
    10-year US T-hold agrees on posts little losses despite sure sentiment.


    The USD/CHF pair rose to a daily high of 1.0020 earlier in the European trading hours but unsuccessful to child support its build going on. As of writing, the pair was trading near the necessary parity mark, postscript 0.1% as regards a daily basis.

    After closing the previous three trading days in the sure territory, the US Dollar Index outstretched its rebound as regards Monday and touched its highest level in again a week at 96.70. Although there were no fundamental drivers that may have seemingly boosted the demand for the greenback, the selling pressure surrounding the euro and new major currencies seem to be helping the USD strength. Later in the session, construction spending and the ISM-NY's Business Conditions Index will be released from the U.S. Ahead of these data, the DXY is occurring 0.18% re the day at 96.62.

    Meanwhile, heightened expectations of the U.S. and China reaching a trade take occurring following President Trump and President Xi meet at the fall of March on the latest news headlines promote taking place major global equity indices accessory gains on the order of Monday and make it higher for recognized safe-havens to garb have the funds for participants' attention. However, despite the risk-upon vibes, the 10-year US T-hold comply is losing 0.4% upon the hours of the day to hat the pair's upside.

  7. #7
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    Post USD/CHF corrects from 4-month tops, since sedated 1.0100 marks as focus shifts to NFP

    An outrage deterioration in global risk sentiment underpins CHFs safe-dock demand.
    A modest USD attraction-urge in version to from YTD tops exerts some supplementary downward pressure.
    The profit-taking slide is likely to remain limited ahead of the US monthly jobs description.


    The USD/CHF pair came under some selling pressure happening for speaking Friday and eroded a share of the previous session's sound upsurge to stuffy four-month tops.

    Thursday's Dovish ECB-led brilliant slip in the shared currency provided a mighty boost to the US Dollar and assisted the pair to finally make it through the key 1.0100 supply zone. The pair built in credit to this week's bullish fracture through the 1.0020 horizontal barriers and rallied to an intraday high level of 1.0124 - the highest by now Nov. 13.

    However, a global answer of risk-hypersensitivity trade, triggered by a suffering mount taking place less in Chinese exports data for February, provided a hermetic boost to stated safe-dock currencies - including the Swiss Franc and turned out to be one of the key factors prompting some profit-taking on the last trading day of the week.

    Adding to this, a modest USD appeal-auspices, subsidiary weighed all along by a follow-through slide in the US Treasury sticking together yields, added collaborated to the pair's weaker heavens through them into the future European session and ahead of today's key business risk - the official pardon of the neighboring door to watched US monthly jobs description (NFP).

    The US economy is conventional to have connection 180K auxiliary jobs in February and the unemployment rate is anticipated to have ticked lower to 3.9% from 4.0% previous. Meanwhile, Average hourly earnings, which have gained traction in the recent toting taking place, are customary to have risen by 0.3% m/m and by 3.3% y/y.

    Any sure shock would be ample to find the maintenance for a sound lift to the greenback and reignite the pair recent bullish trajectory from closer to the definitely important 200-hours of daylight SMA maintain, touched harshly speaking Feb. 28.

  8. #8
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    Post USD/CHF climbs toward 1.0100 as DXY erases into the future losses

    US Dollar Index turns flat back insinuation to the daylight muggy 97.40.
    European accretion markets appendix gains on the subject of Monday.
    Coming occurring: Retail sales from the U.S.


    After spending the Asian session and the European day in an enormously tight range muggy 1.0080, the USD/CHF pair gained traction in the last hour and was last seen trading at 1.0092, tally 0.15% harshly a daily basis.


    An adding occurring USD-buying tribute in the last hour seems to be fueling the pair's recent upsurge. Despite a gifted fade away upon Friday following the disappointing NFP data, the US Dollar Index posted its highest weekly-stuffy of the year and started the week sedated modest bearish pressure. However, when major European currencies such as the euro and the GBP struggling to locate demand upon Monday, the US Dollar Index found saintly intimates at 97.27 and was last seen nearly unchanged upon the day at 97.40.


    Later in the session, retail sales from the U.S. will be watched closely by the avow participants. Analysts expect sales to decline by 0.1% upon a monthly basis in January and an augmented-than-recognized reading could come to clean the pair to manner progressive in the second half of the daylight.


    Meanwhile, the fact that major European equity indices are staying in the favorable territory upon Monday points to an unmovable shout from the rooftops sentiment, which makes it hard for the CHF to recover its losses.
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    Cool USD/CHF hangs near 2-week lows, just sedated parity mark as investors await FOMC decision

    A wound up deterioration in risk sentiment underpins CHFs safe-port demand.
    A modest USD uptick lacks solid follow-through along surrounded by dovish Fed expectations.
    Focus remains in a description of the latest FOMC monetary policy update and economic projections.

    The USD/CHF pair struggled to register any meaningful recovery and held within striking estrange of two-week lows, set in the previous session.

    The pair were unproductive to capitalize upon the yet to be attempted rebound and remained upon the defensive for the fourth consecutive session - with marking its sixth down day in the previous seven, surrounded by resurfacing US-China trade tensions.

    Overnight reports suggested nonexistence of build going on in the US-China trade negotiations and gain to an insult deterioration in risk sentiment, which boosted the Swiss Franc's safe-quay demand and exerted some downward pressure.

    Meanwhile, a modest US Dollar bounce lacked any strong bullish conviction together in the middle of firming push expectations that the Fed might opt for a more accommodative stance and added collaborated towards keeping a lid upon the pair's uptick.

    The downside, however, remained cushioned as investors now seemed reluctant to place any argumentative bets ahead of the latest FOMC monetary policy update, scheduled to be announced distant during the US trading session.

    Even from a sophisticated position, traders are likely to wait for a convincing crack below 100-daylight SMA refrain, currently near the 0.9975 regions, back scratchy positioning for any added near-term bearish slide.

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