EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY Analysis: US Dollar Growing Against Euro and Pound
The US personal consumer spending price index rose 3% in October from a year earlier, down from the three-month rate of 3.4%, although still above the Fed's 2% target, raising the possibility of an early rate cut. Jobless claims rose over the past week, indicating a slowing labour market. Inflation, as measured by the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE), remained unchanged in October after rising 0.4% in September.
According to the technical analysis of EUR/USD, the pair is showing noticeable growth, correcting after an active decline the day before, which turned out to be the most significant in the last few weeks. The euro is testing the 1.0900 mark for an upward breakout, awaiting the publication of macroeconomic statistics from the EU and the USA. Among other things, speeches are expected throughout the day from the heads of the US Federal Reserve and the ECB, who are likely to comment on the likelihood of ending the monetary policy tightening program amid a sharp slowdown in price pressure.
The day before, November inflation data was published in the eurozone. The consumer price index in annual terms fell from 2.9% to 2.4%, which was significantly lower than forecasts of 2.7% and was the slowest growth rate since July 2021, and in monthly terms the figure was -0.5%. Core inflation slowed from 4.2% to 3.6% in annual terms, which was also below expectations at 3.9%, and in monthly terms the index decreased by 0.6%. At the same time, the day before, ECB head Christine Lagarde said that price growth could resume in the near future due to certain factors.
Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0940, a break higher could trigger a rise towards 1.1000. On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0872, a break below could take the pair towards 1.0800.
Based on the lows of two days, a new downward channel has formed. Now the price has moved away from the lower border of the channel and may continue to rise.
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