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  1. #151
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    Date : 19th January 2023.


    Market Update – January 19 – Stocks sink, USD rises after weak data & JPY bounces back.



    Trading Leveraged Products is risky


    Weak data (Retail Sales & PPI) from the US added to recession worries – More Hawkish comments from a raft of FED speakers talking 5.25-5.5% terminal rates added to a safe haven bid for the USD, Stock markets to collapse (-1.24% to -1.81%) under key technical levels and speculators to back the YEN and push the BOJ once more. Bonds rallied, the US 10-yr yield dropped to 3.75%. Asia markets are lower and rangebeound & European FUTS are also mixed. NZD unmoved from surprise the PM Ardern will step down in Febrary ahead of October elections.


    *The USD Index hit a new 7-mth low at 101.25, before the data and a recovery of the 102.00 handle.
    *EUR – holds at 1.0800 now, following a new 8-mth high over 1.0870.
    *JPY – Rip roaring day from 131.60 highs yesterday completely reversed and back to test 128.00 now.
    *GBP – Sterling has breached 1.2400, following the US data and currently trades at 1.2335.
    *Stocks – The US markets were weak into close (-1.24% to +1.81%). US500 -1.56% to 3928 and below 200 EMA and testing the 50MA. PNC -6.04%, UAL -4.57%, US500 FUTS trade at 3937.





    *USOil – rallied again to test $82.50 before the US economic data and inventories took it lower to $79.00 where it holds now.
    *Gold – has tested $1900 again today from highs of $1922 yesterday, trades at $1912 now.
    *BTC – Continues to hold over $20k this week but has relinquished the $21k today to trade at $20.7k.


    Today – Building Permits/Housing Starts, Weekly Claims, Norges Bank & CBRT Announcements, ECB Minutes, Speeches from Fed’s Williams, Brainard & Collins, ECB’s Lagarde, Schnabel & Knot, Earnings – Procter & Gamble and Netflix.





    Biggest FX Mover@ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+1.41%). Rejected & reversed the post BOJ rally to 92.00, tanking close to 400 pips to test 88.00 lows. MAs aligned lower, MACD histogram & signal line negative & falling. RSI 22.87, OS & falling, H1 ATR 0.239, Daily ATR 1.278.





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #152
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    Date : 20th January 2023.


    Market Update – January 20 – USD Wallows, Stocks Weaker, Japanese Inflation at 41-year high.



    Trading Leveraged Products is risky


    Better US data (Unemployment Claims & Philly Fed Manu Index) could not lift the USD (USDIndex under 102.00) & Wall St. (-0.76% to -0.96%). US hit its latest debt ceiling ($31.4 trillion) as Republicans try to rein in Biden’s spending. Potential default postponed until June 5. More Hawkish comments from FED speakers (even key Dove Vice Chair Brainard) talking 5.00%+ terminal rates failed to rally USD. Bonds picked up, the US 10-yr yield dropped to 3.41%. Asia markets are higher ahead of Lunar New Year holidays with the huge Chinese population on the move and all the risks that that entails. Inflation in Japan hit a 41-yr high at 4.0% and the PBOC held rates at 3.65%. NETFLIX shares (-3.23%) rallied +7.12% after hours after subscriber numbers beat and CEO Hastings stepped down and moves to Chair.





    *The USD Index rallied from 7.5 mth lows at 101.25, on Wednesday, held 101.70 yesterday but continues to break above the 102.00 handle.
    *EUR – holds at 1.0825 now, having tested below 1.0800 yesterday, following a new 8-mth high over 1.0880 this week.
    *JPY – Bounced from sub 128.00 lows at 127.80 and trades north of 129.00 following Japanese inflation data. Yen is the weakest of the G7 currencies today.
    *GBP – Sterling was unable to hold the breach of 1.2400, this week but holds its bid at 1.2330 today. UK Consumer Confidence and December Retail Sales both missed significantly. BOE Governor Bailey put a positive spin on a possible quick decline in Uk inflation.
    *Stocks – The US markets were weak again yesterday (-0.76% to -0.96%). US500 -0.76%, breached the key 3900 support, the 50 SMA & test the 20 SMA) to close at 3898. US500 FUTS hold 3900 at 3924.





    *USOil – plunged to post the low of the week at $78.41 before inventories data showed a build of 8.4 million barrels (vs. an expected drawdown of 2.4 million barrels) and prices rallied to $81.50 and holds at $81.00 now.
    *Gold – has hit 9-mth highs today at $1935 again today and trades at $1930 now. The spectre of CB’s reluctant to talk pivot and season factors help the key commodity.
    *BTC – Continues to hold the $20k handle this week and is back to test $21k today.


    Today – US Existing Home Sales, Speeches from ECB’s Lagarde & Elderson. Earnings – Ericsson (beat) Final day of WEF in Davos.





    Biggest FX Mover@ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.21%). Rallied from a 400 pips reversal yesterday down to 88.00 to trade at 89.35 now. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising. RSI 22.87, OS & falling, H1 ATR 0.239, Daily ATR 1.278.





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  3. #153
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    Date : 23rd January 2023.


    Market Update – January 23 – Same story new week!



    Trading Leveraged Products is risky


    Chinese New Year celebrations – many centres are closed in Asia. Treasuries sagged to end on a bearish week. USDIndex at 101.30 low as the market continued to price out a 25 bp rate hike on February 1 & BoJ’s latest attempt to keep a lid on yields, along with some profit taking. Wall Street (US100 +2.66%), 10-year Treasury yield is at 3.48%. Options expirations likely helped support the advance. A report of big layoffs at Alphabet added to recession fears and weighed initially, but signs of cost cutting enticed dip buying. Goldman Sachs slipped on reports of a DoJ probe into its consumer unit.


    *The USD Index sagged at 101.32.
    *EUR – is flirting with the 1.09 mark.
    *JPY – sold off and USDJPY lifted to 130.21, although the USD corrected against most other currencies.
    *GBP – slipped to 1.2400 again after the data this morning. The UK consumer confidence is finally improving. The FT reported that the Deloitte Consumer Tracker rose 0.6 points – the first improvement in five consecutive quarters.
    *Stocks – The US100 surged a heady 2.66%, with the US500 up 1.89% and the US30 1.0% higher. The Nikkei rallied 1.3%, the Topix added around 1%. The ASX managed a 0.1% gain and European stock futures are higher. GER40 +0.5%, UK100 +0.2%.





    *Citadel breaks records with $16bn profit. Ken Griffin’s hedge fund charged its investors $12bn in fees and expenses in 2022.
    *USOil – tops at $81.40, as USD supports crude prices.
    *Gold – retested $1,937 highs but turned to $1,920 lows since then.
    *BTC – spikes to 22,800 area (September’s peak) – Risky trades?


    Today – ECB’s Lagarde and Panetta speech. A quarter of the S&P 500 report this week starting with Microsoft on Tuesday.





    Biggest FX Mover@ (07:30 GMT) EURJPY (+0.87%). Rallied to 141.90. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising. RSI 77.85, OB & rising, H1 ATR 0.278, Daily ATR 1.834.





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  4. #154
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    Date : 24th January 2023.


    Market Update – January 24 – Stocks in a Rally!



    Trading Leveraged Products is risky


    USDIndex settled at 101.50, Wall Street rallied on the back of tech amid ongoing hopes for a downshift in Fed rate hikes amid a potential moderation inflation this week. Fears of a recession and the potential for the worst quarter of earnings in seven years were put aside for now. Microsoft announces Tuesday but news it is investing $10 bln in OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT provide strong support for investors.


    *The USD Index failed to extend above 102, while it returned to 101.50, as Treasuries cheapened amid the gains in risk appetite and the pressure of upcoming supply, including $120 bln in shorter dated Treasury coupons and a hefty corporate calendar.
    *EUR – is flirting with the 1.09 mark for 7th time the past 2 weeks.
    *JPY – pullback to 129.70.
    *GBP – holds above 1.2400. Today, UK public borrowing data showed a rises with debt financing costs – the highest borrowing figure for December on record and a much higher number than anticipated.






    *Stocks – The US500 breached 4058 but closed at4019 (+1.19%), with the US100 up 11930 and the US30 +0.8%, to 33700 higher. The Nikkei rallied 1.46% and European stock futures are higher. Logitech quarterly sales fall 22% as slowdown fears bite. Microsoft announces today but news it is investing $10 bln in OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT provided strong support for investors. Advanced Micro Devices AMD 9.22% added $6.46, or 9.2%, to $76.53 and Nvidia NVDA 7.59% rose $13.54, or 7.6% to $191.93.
    *USOil – steady at $81.50, as USD decline and expectations of rising Chinese demand support crude prices.
    *Gold – breaks 9-month high today, extending to $1,941.40





    Today – German, Eurozone, UK and US flash S&P Global PMIs are due today. New Zeleand and Australian Inflation for Q4 is also on tap.





    Biggest FX Mover@ (07:30 GMT) USDJPY (-0.45%). Rejects 130.70 for a 3-day in a row. MAs aligned lower, MACD histogram & signal line are close to neutral zone. RSI 42 & flat, H1 ATR 0.200, Daily ATR 1.920.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  5. #155
    Golden Trader
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    Date : 25th January 2023.


    Market Update – January 25 – Asian markets return to hot AUD & NZD Inflation.



    Trading Leveraged Products is risky


    Many Asian markets back (China & Taiwan remain closed all week) and higher today, NYSE suffered tech meltdown (250+ stocks paused trading on Open) US Stocks mixed following a raft of uninspiring Earnings. #MSFT had its weakest quarterly sales growth in 6-yrs but EPS beat, -0.22% on the day & -1.02% after hours. PMI data from EZ & US weak, but better than expected, UK data weak & missed. USDIndex recovered 102.00, EUR close to 9-mth highs. Hot Australian CPI (8.4% & 32-yr high vs 7.6%) puts AUD on bid & lifts outlook for hikes from RBA 7/2. AUD over 0.7100 close to 6-mth highs, NZD CPI also hotter than expected. Gold $1930, USOIL holds $80.00, BTC $22.7k.


    *The USD Index rallied to 102.20, on Tuesday, before PMI & Earnings weighed and it trades at 101.60 today.
    *EUR – holds over 1.0900 now, having tested below 1.0845 yesterday, following a new 9-mth high at 1.0925 on Monday.
    *JPY – Hit resistance at 131.00 and support at 130.00 yesterday, back to 130.40 now.
    *GBP – Sterling hit 1.2260 and 5-day lows following the weak PMI data, a revision of ONS data that showed UK to be the 2nd slowest growing of the G7 nations and record Government borrowing in December. (
    *Stocks – The US markets traded very mixed yesterday amid concerns over Earnings (-0.27% to +0.96%). US500 -0.07%, (-2.86) 4016 band holds the key 4000 level US500 FUTS trade at 4019. #MSFT had its weakest Q4 sales growth in 6-yrs but EPS beat, stock fell -0.22% on the day & -1.02% after hours.





    *USOil – topped at $82.58 on Monday and declined to test $80.00 before inventories data and holds at $80.25 now.
    *Gold – declined to $1918 yesterday from $1940 and trades at $1930 now.
    *BTC – Continues to hold the $22k handle this week and is at $22.7k today.





    Today – German Ifo, BOC Policy Announcement Earnings from ASML, AT&T, Tesla, Boeing, IBM & Abbott.





    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDNZD (+1.21%). Rallied from 1.0800 yesterday to trade at 1.0960 now. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising. RSI 85.12, OB & stalling, H1 ATR 0.00205, Daily ATR 0.0070.


    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  6. #156
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    Date : 26th January 2023.


    Market Update – January 26 – BOC Pause, TESLA Beat, USD at Lows.



    Trading Leveraged Products is risky


    HK markets reopened today and rallied +2.15%, other Asian markets were softer following a weak handover from Wall Street (opened -1.6% but recovered to close flat) Gold remains at 9-mth highs and USD at 8-mth lows. The Dovish 25bp hike from the BOC hit the CAD (USDCAD hit 1.3430 from 1.3340); – the key phrase the Bank – “expects to hold the policy rate at its current level while it assesses the impact of cumulative interest rate increases.” Speculation building that the BOC could even be raising rates before year end. #TSLA (+0.38%) Earnings beat (+5.5% after hours) record deliveries (with 1.8-2.0 possible 2023), magins held up & the 20% price cuts kicked-in. MUSK talked of deep recession and more cost cutting for year ahead. Gold $1940, USOIL over $80.00, BTC breaches $23k.


    *The USD Index has tested the 8-mth low at 101.25, today, trades at 101.40 now ahead of another busy economic data day .
    *EUR – holds over 1.0900 now, posting 9-mth highs at 1.0929 today, following 1.0925 on Monday.
    *JPY – Sank below support at 130.00 yesterday, and tested back to 129.00 today, before Japanese minister warning of not letting speculators dominate JPY movements.
    *GBP – Sterling has rallied over 1.2400 today to test 1.2410 resistance.
    *Stocks – The US markets closed flat (-0.18% to +0.03%) yesterday amid concerns over Earnings. US500 -0.02%, (-0.73) 4016 band holds the key 4000 level US500 FUTS trade firmer at 4042. IBM. AT&T both beat, whilst Boeing numbers were mixed. In Europe today Diageo and SAP have both posted strong beats, lifting European stocks (+0.60%) at open.





    *USOil – topped at $81.00 yesterday before dipping to $79.50 after inventories showed a 0.5 million barrel build compared to expectations of 1.2m after two weeks of huge builds. Trades at $80.40 now.
    *Gold – Tested into $1949 earlier today from $1922 support yesterday, and trades at $1940 now.
    *BTC – Continues to hold the $22k handle this week, spiking to $23.7K earlier today and holds $23k currently.


    Today – US Durable Goods, GDP Advance/PCE Prices Advance (Q4), Weekly Claims, New Home Sales, Japanese CPI, SARB Policy Announcement, Earnings from Diageo (beat), STMicroelectronics, Nokia, SAP (beat) LVMH, Comcast, Intel & Visa.





    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) NZDCAD (+0.24%). Rallied from 0.8620 post BOC lows yesterday to test 0.8700 & trades at 0.8680now. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising. RSI 53.10 & stalling, H1 ATR 0.0012, Daily ATR 0.0073.





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  7. #157
    Golden Trader
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    Date : 27th January 2023.


    Market Update – January 27 – Strong US data = Soft Landing?



    Trading Leveraged Products is risky


    The major US economic data yesterday (Q4 GDP lower; 3.9% from 4.2% but better than expected 3.6%, strong consumer spending, Durable goods, New Home Sales, Lower Inventories and Weekly Claims at new 22-mth lows) all added to the soft landing, disinflation, scenario for the US economy. A FOMC 25bp hike next week now has a 98% probability, up from 94% yesterday (2% for 50bp!). Stocks rallied, USD recovered and yields picked up from recent lows. Overnight – Asian stocks hit 8-mth highs and Core Inflation in Tokyo hit a 42yr high at 4.3%. European & UK FUTS also higher. #TESLA gained +10.97%.


    *The USD Index tested the 8-mth lows at 101.25, yesterday, rallied to test 102.00 following the data and trades back to 101.75 now.
    *EUR – sank below 1.0900 after posting 9-mth highs at 1.0929 and lows at 1.0855 yesterday before recovering to 1.0875 now.
    *JPY – Sank to test 129.00 yesterday, before rallying to 130.50, back to 129.50 following the CPI data and now up to 130.00.
    *GBP – Sterling has rallied over 1.2400 yesterday and again today but has struggled to hold the key resistance level. Back to 1.2370 now.
    *Stocks – The US markets rallied yesterday (+0.61% to +1.76%) yesterday. US500 +1.10%, (+44) 4060, US500 FUTS trade firmer at 4062. TSLA +10.97%, CVX +4.86%, XOM +4.02% IBM -4.48%. Intel missed after hours -9.7%. In Europe today LVMH posted strong Earnings, lifting European FUTS further.





    *USOil – topped at $82.00 yesterday before dipping to $80.00. Trades at $81.40 now.
    *Gold – Tested into $1949 yesterday before breaching $1922 support, rallying to $1940 and now back to $1922.
    *BTC – Continues to hold the $22k handle this week, spiking to $23.7k yesterday, and holds $23k currently.


    Today – US PCE Price Index, Personal Income & Consumption, Speech from ECB’s Lagarde.





    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) GBPJPY (-0.38%). Declined from a test of 161.75 on close last night as JPY outperformed in Asia, to test 160.70. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram & signal line positive but falling. RSI 49.76 & neutral, H1 ATR 0.268, Daily ATR 1.808.





    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.


    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!


    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  8. ARIONFORXtarder
 

 
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