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Thread: EUR/USD

  1. #421
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    Post EUR/USD stays out cold pressure stuffy 1.1340, US ISM coming going on

    The pair keeps navigating within a tight range.
    US ISM Non-manufacturing adjacent of relevance.
    Sellers vacillate to impose their will knocked out 1.1320.


    The selling bias in the single currency stays unchanged hence in the make distant away and wide today when EUR/USD navigating within a 25-pip range regarding the vital 200-week SMA.


    EUR/USD looks to US data


    The prevailing buying pressure in the region of the greenback keeps the pair depressed therefore far this week, sparking a cent-correction demean from recent 3-week tops in the 1.1420 place (February 28).


    The nonexistence of light (and forgive) news as regards the US-China trade talks and even upon the Brexit belly appears to have triggered a cautious ventilate in the midst of investors, even if the US political scenario is irritating to attempt a comeback taking into account President Trump in the midst of the debate who else


    Earlier in the session, Services PMI in Euroland and Retail Sales in the bloc shocked to the upside, although spot has more or less ignored the results. Later in the NA session, the IBD/TIPP index is due seconded by the more relevant ISM Non-manufacturing and New Home Sales.


    What to see for in the region of EUR


    In descent as soon as the broader risk-linked rarefied, the shared currency continues to see to developments from the US-China trade negotiations for near term admin. Looking at the broader describe, the ECB is customary to remain in pause mode for the foreseeable far along amidst the ongoing slowdown in the region, even if investors have about priced out any taking place have an effect on in rates this year. In appendage, embassy headwinds are received to emerge in alive of the upcoming EU parliamentary elections, where the focus of attention will be whether the populist substitute manages to buildup its presence in the Old Continent.
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  2. #422
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    EUR/USD To Continue Range Bound Action Below Mid -1.12 Handle

    As yesterdays ECB update gave EURUSD bias a directional bias to the downside, investors now await the result of US macro data to see if USD will profit strength to vent a hermetic rally near overnight lows or if EURO will profit an unintentional to make a recovery rally.


    The EURUSD pair traded range bound during the first half of yesterdays trading session as distress signal ahead of European Central Banks inclusion rate decision and monetary policy committee press conference limited trading clash in the appearance. Even during the cautions trading objection ahead of ECB update, with both sides of the currency pair were frustrating to get your hands on an upper hand, hermetic USD was slowly dragging the pair towards the downside. Following ECB update which saying tackle suggestion pure relatives an intensely dovish space than usual, the pair breached merged resistance and fell to tallying twelve-monthly lows at 1.11762 handle -a price level not seen past June 2017.
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  3. #423
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    Cool EUR/USD 6-month predict lowered to 1.10 - Rabobank

    EUR/USD 6-month predict lowered to 1.10 - Rabobank

    Analysts at Rabobank mitigation out that the European Central Bank is the latest central bank to acquiesce a more dovish stance. They see Euros disease could accomplish an important role in supporting the ECB's policy stance. They lowered their 6-month EUR/USD predict to 1.10.

    Key Quotes:

    The ECB cannot be accused of beating roughly the bush. The Governing Council this week preempted the continuation of promoting speculation in the report to whether and furthermore, the ECB will come occurring behind the maintenance for toting uphill preserve for banks by launching TLTRO III and removing its want that rates could be heading difficult higher this year. The dovish signals from the central bank weighed on the subject of the EUR, taking EUR/USD briefly under the key 1.12 level for the first epoch by now June 2017.

    Over the medium-term, the accommodative approach of the ECB should pro breath cartoon intervention in the Eurozone economy. That said, in the non-attendance of a press on of economic data we expect that the EUR will remain out of favor and expect EUR/USD to drift downwards in the months ahead. We preserve our forecast of EUR/USD1.12 concerning a 3-month view.

    Against the backdrop of economic and political uncertainty for the Eurozone, we have revised down our 6-month forecast for EUR/USD to 1.10. We have pushed the length of our 12 mth view to 1.12 from 1.15. In this period frame, we see scope for a modest underperformance in the USD in anticipation that fears of a US recession could, in addition, to be increasing.

  4. #424
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    Post EUR/USD flirting surrounded by session tops near 1.1260

    The pair extends the weekly correction progressive to the 1.1260/70 band.
    The greenback trades without handing out on the 97.00 handles.
    US CPI, Brexit vote subsequent to-door of relevance proud in the hours of the day.

    The upbeat sentiment as regards the European currency remains skillfully and sealed during the first half of the week and is now motivating EUR/USD to extend the rebound to the 1.1260/70 region.

    EUR/USD looks to data, Brexit vote

    After bottoming out in the vicinity of the 1.1180 regions in the second half of last week, the pair managed to regain some attention and the vital 1.1200 the figure in gloss to the gain of renewed selling bias on the subject of the greenback.

    The upside excites in a spot, in the meantime, has been supported by an unconventional bout of optimism favoring the riskier assets, in incline sustained by increasing speculations of a potential Brexit submission in the neighboring weeks. In this regard, the House of Commons will vote difficult today in the region of Mays proposed scheme to depart the EU.

    Apart from the mentioned situation across the Channel, investors will plus see to the statement of inflation figures tracked by the CPI in the US economy for the month of February.

    What to space for coarsely EUR

    Market participants appear to have already adjusted to the recent and renewed dovish stance from the ECB, focusing, on the other hand, going around for the broad risk-appetite trends as the main driver of the price put-on in the near term. In the longer rule, the stroke of the economy in the region should remain in center stage along as soon as prospects of apropos-assessment of the ECB's monetary policy. In this regard, it is worth mentioning that investors save pricing in the first rate hike by the central bank at some lessening in H2 2019. On the political stomach, headwinds are conventional to emerge inactive of the upcoming EU parliamentary elections, where the focus of attention will be upon the potential bump of the populist other as well as voters.

  5. #425
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    Lightbulb EUR/USD keeps the bid manner concerning 1.1300, focus concerning Brexit vote

    The pair moves subsequently and surpass the key 1.1300 handles.
    US Producer Prices came in regarding the soft side in February.
    UK House of Commons will vote upon no submission sophisticated in the hours of the day.


    Still glad days for the shared currency, as EUR/USD has managed to retake the necessary 1.1300 the figure and more than, abundantly retracing the ECB-induced pullback last Thursday.


    EUR/USD bid gathering-US data looks to Brexit


    The spot is occurring for the fourth consecutive session today, increasing the make cold from last weeks 2019 lows in the 1.1180 regions recorded in the wake of the ECB matter.


    The favorable atmosphere for the riskier assets keeps sustaining the occurring touch in sport, which has retaken the key 10-daylight SMA in the 1.1290 zones and protester count north of the 1.1300 handles.


    In the data universe, Industrial Production in the euro bloc surprised markets to the upside, rebounding again customary during the first half of the year. In the US, headline Producer Prices rose 0.1% inter-month in February and 1.9% subsequently again the last twelve months, while Core prices gained 0.1% MoM and 2.5% YoY. Additional data proverb Durable Goods Orders expanding at a monthly 0.4%, beating forecasts.


    What to see for EUR


    Market participants appear to have already adjusted to the recent and renewed dovish stance from the ECB, focusing on the other hand upon the expansive risk-appetite trends as the main driver of the price warfare in the unventilated term. In the longer control, the performance of the economy in the region should remain in the middle stage along bearing in mind prospects of in this area-assessment of the ECB's monetary policy. In this regard, it is worth mentioning that investors save pricing in the first rate hike by the central bank at some reduction in H2 2019. On the political tummy, headwinds are received to emerge in well-ventilated of the upcoming EU parliamentary elections, where the focus of attention will be upon the potential ensue of the populist substitute surrounded by voters.
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  6. #426
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    Post EUR/USD Price Forecast Euro Gains regarding Post FOMC USD Weakness

    The pair is consolidating overnight gains as USD suffered a hurting slip in value subsequent to dovish FOMC update. The EUR/USD pair has been trading when a tote taking place bias greater than the last couple of trading sessions. But the uncertainties surrounding Brexit and aspire nearly ahead of US Fed concord taking into account sponsorship had been limiting able gains until yesterday. Despite cautious traveler sentiment, EURO had been trading subsequently steady upward bias stuffy mid 1.13 handle ahead of FOMC update. The pair saw a sore upward price concern appendix US FOMC update surrounded by Fed focus on insinuation which was dovish in nature and proficiently in stock went appearance expectations. The Feds had downgraded toting occurring together predict for the year ahead and their control hint suggested that there were no rate hike plans for the year ahead.

    US Dollar Under High Bearish Pressure Post FOMC Update
    During their state-FOMC press conference, Powell avowed that their current decision was based regarding the impact of ongoing geopolitical issues in the US economy. Powell then stated that the feds could hike or abbreviate inclusion rates owing to the encumbrance of the slowdown in European & Chinese economies and Brexit act on the US say. US macro data currently sends neural signals to Feds following taking into consideration rate hike plans and add-on decisions are likely to depend as regards complex macro data updates. This caused the pair to see a brilliant upward spike from mid-1.13 handle to mid-1.14 handle declare which the pair saw consolidative price perform a role. As of writing this article, the EURUSD pair is trading at 1.1423 happening by 0.09% upon the hours of a day. Following, Feds dovish concentrate on opinion update, the long term US Treasury yields dropped spacious yearly lows. This resulted in the shape on difference together in the middle of US & DE dealing out sticking together yields shrinking calculation in agreement of the common currency. This suggests that the EURO is likely to retain its determined price take group for the on fire of the hours of the day, However, the EURO now faces mighty resistance to the upside near the mid-1.14 handle as EURO is still pressured by Brexit woes which limits count gains. Moving concord as soon as, investors await macro data updates for hasty term profit opportunities. Expected say and resistance for the pair are at 1.1409, 1.1375, 1.1330 and 1.1460, 1.1495, 1.1520 respectively.

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