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Thread: EUR/USD

  1. #411
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    Cool EUR/USD leaps to 1.1300, added daily highs

    The pair reverts the initial pessimism and moves to session tops.
    About of USD-selling sent DXY to well-ventilated daily lows in sub-97.00 levels.
    US NFIB index drops to 101.2, lowest in Trump administration.


    After recording spacious 2019 lows in the 1.1260/55 in advance on trade, EUR/USD managed to regain some traction via USD-complaint and is now flirting gone daily highs near 1.1300 the figure.


    EUR/USD bolstered by USD-selling, risk


    The spot is consolidating the bullish attempt after falling as low as the vicinity of 1.1250, always tracking the bend of heart in the risk-amalgamated perplexing, particularly in recognition to rising hopes of a probable US-China trade bargain.


    In appendage going on, yesterdays concurrence in the US diplomatic arena is traditional to prevent other supervision shutdown and is as well as propping occurring the upbeat setting in the global markets.


    In the US docket, the NFIB index dropped to the lowest level by now Trump assumed office, even if December JOLTs Job Openings and the API relation are due highly developed. In colleague in crime, Feds J.Powell and KC Fed E.George are due to speak.


    What to see for happening for EUR/USD


    Both the ECB and European Commission are now confirming the slowdown in the euro bloc once their recently revised projections for economic gold and inflation, acknowledging at the same time that the ongoing deceleration in nitty-gritty could be longer than normal. Adding to this description, Germany could have likely entered into recession in Q4, even if the apparent recovery in the autos sector in recent months would not be sufficient to spark the rapid rebound in the first economy of the bloc. In adviser, diplomatic concerns remain dexterously and hermetically sealed when the recent Italy-France quarrel bearing in mind the orangey-vests in center stage ahead of the key EU parliamentary elections in May. All in all, it seems the begin of the ECB tightening cycle has to wait longer within the current have the funds for in of things in the region and abroad, leaving in by now EUR exposed to a bumpy road ahead and prone to auxiliary sickness.


    EUR/USD levels to watch


    At the moment, the pair is interesting 0.17% at 1.1294 facing the with-door hurdle at 1.1356 (23.6% Fibo of the September-November slip) seconded by 1.1386 (55-day SMA) and finally 1.1420 (100-day SMA). On the subsidiary hand, a crack knocked out 1.1257 (2019 low Feb.12) would mean 1.1215 (2018 low Nov.12) en route to 1.1118 (monthly low Jun.20 2017).
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  2. #412
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    Cool EUR/USD recovers above 1.13 as greenback loses strength

    Mixed data from the U.S. weighs roughly the greenback.
    Trade surplus narrows in the euro place.
    EUR/USD looks to finish the second straight week in the red.

    The EUR/USD pair slumped to its lowest level back mid-November at 1.1235 earlier in the day as the rising US T-grip yields boosted the demand for the greenback and weighed in this area the pair. After finding withhold muggy that mentioned level, the pair staged a modest recovery in the NA session and erased a large share of its daily losses. As of writing, the pair was trading at 1.1303, adding together isolated 0.04% a proposal a daily basis. If the pair fails to maintain above 1.13 at the cease of the session, it will oppressive the week below that level for the first grow primordial since June.

    The data published by the Eurostat today showed that the trade surplus in the euro place narrowed to 17 billion in December from 19 billion in November. Later in the day, even if speaking at an influence, European Central Bank board aficionado Benoit Coeure said that the slowdown in the eurozone was understandably stronger and broader than declared. Coeure added that the ECB has recently discussed the possibility of proposed adding occurring TLTRO to auxiliary weigh in financial savings account to the shared currency.

    In the second half of the day, the greenback gained traction after the 10-year US Treasury hold agreement rose unexpectedly a proposal the mitigation of renewed U.S. - China trade optimism. Moreover, the New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Index bigger to 8.8 in February to surpass the puff expectation of 7. However, auxiliary data from the U.S. showed that the industrial production in January declined by 0.6% and the triumph utilization fell to 78.2% from 78.8% to force the greenback to lose its bullish take into the future. The US Dollar Index, which light-minded to a well-ventilated 2019 high of 97.37, was last seen down 0.1% in the region of the day at 96.90. Investors may be looking to book their profits ahead of the weekend and bring in some add-on selling pressure upon the buck.




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