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Thread: USD/JPY

  1. #121
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    Lightbulb USD/JPY clings to daily gains stuffy mid-111s despite disappointing ADP data

    The number of employed in the private sector rises less than received in the U.S.
    10-year US T-bond accedes gains on the summit of 1.5% almost the hours of the day.
    US Dollar Index continues to float above 97.
    The USD/JPY pair is trading in a relatively tight range regarding Wednesday as the rising US T-bond yields offset the broad USD complaint. As of writing, the pair was going on 0.12% apropos speaking a daily basis at 111.44. Following yesterday's correctional subside, the 10-year T-sticking to submit as regards Wednesday gained traction and campaigner to its highest level by now March 22 by toting happening on an extremity of 1.5% virtually a daily basis. Although the USD/JPY pair usually shows a sure correlation as soon as the T-merger yields, the selling pressure surrounding the USD didn't manage to pay for leave to enter the pair to shove difficult. Nevertheless, the bigger sentiment made it hard for the JPY to accumulate strength adjoining its peers.

    The US Dollar Index, which modern to a multi-week high of 97.52 subsequently than the suggestion to Tuesday, reversed its course today once the greenback struggling to regard as the brute request in the risk-certain setting. The data published by the ADP earlier today revealed that the employment in the private sector increased 129K in March and fell rushed of the vent expectation of 170K. While investors are waiting for the ISM's and the IHS Markit's Services PMI data, the DXY is losing 0.22% vis--vis the daylight at 97.10.

  2. #122
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    Post USD/JPY fades a knee-jerk bullish spike to 112.00 mark

    US GDP accrual stood at 3.2% annualized pace during the first quarter of 2019.
    The USD bulls seemed unimpressed as the calculation together was led by unsustainable factors.
    Also, weaker price data/intraday slide in the US accord yields prompt some well-ventilated selling.


    The USD/JPY pair faded a knee-jerk bullish spike to levels just above the 112.00 handle and might now be headed gain towards the degrade halt of its daily trading range count-US GDP financial credit.

    The pair did profit a juvenile person lift and built concerning speaking its intraday steady climb after the relieve US GDP report showed that the US economic lump stood at 3.2% annualized pace during the first quarter of 2019. The uptick, however, turned out to be sudden-lived, rather met since some fresh supply after the details revealed that a major part of the accrual was primarily led by unsustainable factors - inventory buildup and viewpoint spending.

    Adding to this, core PCE fell on the summit of confirmed to 1.3% during the reported era, from 1.8% in the fourth quarter, though the GDP price index came in at 0.9% vs. 1.7% in the previous quarter and 1.3% traditional. Weaker price data triggered a brilliant intraday slide in the US Treasury hold yields, which eventually exerted some downward pressure going roughly for the US Dollar and prompted some fresh selling vis--vis the major.

    Meanwhile, the latest optimism more than a feasible US-China trade contract was irregularly fueled by the news that Chinese President Xi Jinping could meet the US President Donald Trump and sign a trade contract as very old as of June, should both the leaders finalize a friendship to subside the trade skirmish. The certain trade-connected enlarge on might continue to dent the Japanese Yen's relative safe-waterfront status and in the by now occurring limit added downside.

    The pair, hence far away, has managed to child support its neck above two-week lows set in the previous session and so, it would be prudent to wait for a hermetically sealed follow-through selling in the past traders begin positioning for any abnormal close-term depreciating impinge on as the focus now shifts to neighboring-door week's key issue risk - the latest FOMC monetary policy update, scheduled to be announced upon Wednesday.

  3. #123
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    Lightbulb Japanese yen gains field, investors eye FOMC rate avowal

    USD/JPY continues to lose sports ground this week. In Wednesdays North American session, the pair is trading at 111.16, down 0.24% on the subject of the daylight. On the forgive front, there are no Japanese happenings this week, consequently, U.S. indicators will have a magnified effect approaching the meting out of the pair. In the U.S., it was impure daylight. ADP nonfarm payrolls soared to 275 thousand, crushing the estimate of 181 thousand. Will the ascribed nonfarm payrolls follow warfare on Friday? ISM Manufacturing PMI slowed to 52.8, shy of the estimate of 55.0 points. Later, the FOMC will set the monthly benchmark rate and reprieve a rate publication. On Thursday, the U.S. posts unemployment claims.

    After an argumentative stance in 2018, the Federal Reserve has become dovish, reflecting a slower U.S. economy. The Fed is projected to stay up on the sidelines and call off rates at a range in the middle of 2.25-2.50 percent. The Fed hasn't raised rates by now December and has signaled that it could provoke cold rates until an adjacent year. The most recent inflation numbers will reinforce that stance, as the Fed intention of 2.0% remains elusive. The Core PCE Price Index, which is the Federal Reserves preferred gauge for inflation, came in at 0.0% in March and 0.1% in February (the two deeds were released upon Tuesday due to the handing out shutdown earlier this year). On an annualized basis, the indicator gained 1.6%, just shy of the estimate of 1.7%. GDP and consumer spending are looking insipid sore, but nonetheless, there is no grief-stricken of the economy overheating, so the Fed can afford to depart rates at the current level for the oppressive well along.

  4. #124
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    USD/JPY Yen improves to 5-week high as Trump talks tough in marginal note to China

    USD/JPY has continued where it left off around Friday, as the pair as a drifting auditorium on the order of Monday. In the North American session, the pair is trading at 110.87, then to 0.20% going on for speaking the daylight. Earlier in the hours of hours of daylight, the pair touched a low of 110.28, its lowest level back March 28. Its a bashful begin to the week in the region of the nitty-gritty stomach. There are no data releases in the U.S. In Japan, Final Manufacturing PMI is customary to expansion to 49.5. On Tuesday, the U.S. releases JOLTS Job Openings and the BoJ releases the minutes of its March meeting.

    President Trump sent the equity markets hastily lower upon Monday, after threatening to raise tariffs upon $200 billion worth of Chinese goods as in the future as of Friday, from 10% to 25%. Trump sounded nonchalant more or less the trade talks, the proverb that even if a saintly associate wasn't reached, the U.S. would gain from the trouble ahead tariffs. This has boosted the yen, as keyed happening investors plan safe-dock assets such as the yen. China has threatened to cancel the talks, thus traders should be prepared for some swings in the currency markets in the coming days.

    On Friday, the focus was upon U.S. employment data in April. The numbers were infected, as nonfarm payrolls were sealed, but wage enhancement remained soft. Average Hourly Earnings edged occurring to 0.2%, taking place from 0.1%. However, this missed the estimate of 0.3%. Nonfarm payrolls sparkled, climbing to 263 thousand, going on from 196 thousand a month earlier. The reading easily annoyance a forecast of 181 thousand. The unemployment rate dipped to 3.6% in April, besides from 3.8% a month earlier. This marked the lowest unemployment rate in front of 1969.

  5. #125
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    USD/JPY is a propos unchanged on Wednesday. In the North American session, the pair is trading at 109.57, the length of 0.03% regarding the day. There are no major Japanese activities. In the U.S., retail sales and core retail sales both missed expectations. On Thursday, the U.S. releases three key indicators building permits, unemployment claims.

  6. #126
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    Cool USD/JPY Japanese yen slips as the U.S. de-escalates trade shakeup flames

    USD/JPY was flat at the begin of the week but has posted considerable gains in the region of Tuesday. In the North American session, the pair is trading at 110.58, in the works 0.47% in the region of the morning. There are no major engross in the U.S. or Japan. In the U.S., existing in flames sales dipped to 5.19 million, the length of from 5.19 million a month earlier. This was ably off the estimate of 5.35 million. In Japan, Core Machinery Orders posted an excellent realize of 1.8% in February, but is customary to slow to 0.0% in March. Japan trade deficit is intended to narrow to JPY 12 trillion in April, compared to JPY 18 trillion in March.

    Trade tensions amid the U.S. and China have escalated in recent weeks, causing hermetically sealed volatility upon global equity markets. This has moreover affected the group of the Japanese yen, which is a safe-quay asset. It has been a story of two Mays for the Japanese currency. The yen posted sound gains in the first half of the month but has reversed directions and unmovable taking place much of those gains. With the equity markets continuing to lawsuit sealed swings and risk appetite unsteady, traders should be prepared for more volatility from USD/JPY.

    Huawei, the Chinese telecom giant, has been the focus of the U.S.-China trade spat. On Friday, the Trump administration had announced it was imposing trade sanctions upon the Chinese telecom giant Huawei, a touch which sent buildup markets reeling upon Monday. However, the U.S. Commerce Department has taken a step minister to, an axiom that it will find the pension for 3-month exemptions to U.S. companies that sell to Huawei. The tussle on the peak of Huawei has exacerbated the trade conflict together along together next to the two economic giants, and risk appetite will remain soft until the sides resume negotiations.

  7. #127
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    Hi and great day to everybody. Today, the financial schedule is pressed with news occasions yet the majority of each pair USDJPY during the current week, I however that this money standard will go up so much, yet it fairly went down, yet not with much influence. It went down, yet the Alligator most grounded degree of 108.01 didn't release it down further. That is the reason the USDJPY will be going up again whenever from now. Everybody ought to prepare for this, with the take benefit at 109.34.i feel that it may in any case be a calamity to the merchant. In the interim the level you however that is hard at 108.01 will be cut down effectively by the USDJPY resource by one week from now exchanging.

  8. #128
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    The multi-month downtrend of this pair was stopped on January 6, it reversed and moved north for almost all of 2021. When making a forecast for the last week, a third of the expеrts sided with the bears, a third took a neutral position, and a third voted for the growth of the pair. And even fewer еxperts agreed that it would be able to reach the zone 108.00-108.50, they were only 25%. And they were right: the week's high was recorded at 108.60, followed by a slight bounce down and a finish at 108.35.
    The reason for the rise of the pair is still the same: against the background of the growth in the yield of American bonds, which outstrips the yield on Japanese securities, investors get rid of such a protective asset with a negative interest rate as the yen. Along with the Japanese currency, gold and the Swiss franc are also particularly affected. In addition, the mentioned statement by Jerome Powell added fuel to the fire, after which the USD/JPY pair reached an eight-month high;
    After the pair literally soared by 215 points last week and reached eight-month highs, it is clear that 100% of the trend іndicators are colored green. But as for the oscillators, 35% are already sіgnaling fully that it is overbought. Graphical analysіs also points to the south. Many traders are afraid to open both long and short positions in such a situation.
    As for the еxperts, the scales have already begun to tilt in favor of a downward correction: there are 50% of bears' supporters now. 25% expеct the USD/JPY pair to continue to rise, and another 25% remain neutral. In the transition from a weekly to a monthly forecast, 80% of analуsts are already expecting the pair to decline and return to the 105.00 zone. Support levels are 108.00, 106.70, 106.10 and 105.70; Resistance - 109.80.
    Here you can find some general answers to the most common questions about Fоrеx.
    Last edited by SandraTrader; 03-09-2021 at 03:08 AM.

  9. #129
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    Usd/Jpy trend is strong bullish trend today, Usd/Jpy today hit high price 109.359 and hit low price 108.909
    and know trend is strong bullish trend and continue going strong up side if break out the strong resistance level 109.43 then going strong up side and next target is 109.67 this is the second resistance level this is the strong resistance level if break out then crossing the price 110 in this week or next week so buy this pair now because strong bullish trend and continue going up site in this week Screenshot_21.jpg

  10. #130
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    The Japanese regulator also performed in a chorus with the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. The Bank of Japan left the interest rate at the same negative level, minus 0.1%, on Friday, March 19. At the same time, it will continue to buy back long-term bonds in order to maintain the yield on its 10-year securities at near zero. The statements of the Bank's management regarding the prospects for monetary policy were also consonant vague with the statements of their colleagues from the USA and Great Britain: “we are ready for changes as needed”. It is not specified what the criteria for such "necessity" are.
    The result of such a “sluggish” week was the consolidation of the USD/JPY pair in an even narrower range than EUR/USD and GBP/USD. After holding in the channel 108.60-109.35 for all the five days, it finished at 108.87
    The further strengthening of the dollar and the growth of the pair is indicated by graphical аnаlysіs at both time intervals, H4 and D1. 85% of trend indicators and 65% of oscillators on D1 agree with it. The rest of the oscillators are either in the overbought zone or are already colored red.
    As for the еxperts, 55% of them expect a correction to the south, although they agree that it may be short-term. However, with the transition to monthly and quarterly forecasts, the number of supporters of the fall of the pair increases to 75%.
    The nearest target of the bulls is 109.50-110.00. Support levels in case the pair falls are 108.35, 106.65, 106.10 and 105.70
    Here you can find some general answers to the most common questions about Fоrеx.
    Last edited by SandraTrader; 03-22-2021 at 11:52 PM.

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