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Thread: GBP/USD

  1. #41
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    GBPUSD:
    The pound has wiped out almost all its declines against the dollar this year as recent surveys signaled pro-EU voters pulling ahead. Expected volatility also comes from increased speculation that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates on June 15. The pound’s one-month volatility versus the dollar jumped to its highest level since 2010, as the measure began to reflect trading activity in the days following the results of Britain’s June 23 vote on whether to leave the European Union. Opinion polls and betting odds on whether the “remain” camp or the “leave” group will prevail in the referendum have dictated moves in the currency in recent months. One-month pound-dollar implied volatility rose more than five percentage points to 16.53 percent as of 4:35 p.m. in London, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The level was the highest since May 2010 on a closing basis.
    Last edited by Jennifer; 05-30-2016 at 05:08 PM.

  2. #42
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    GBP/USD 30/05/2016
    Sterling was trading flat at 1.4611, having touched an early high of 1.4630. The major traded between a thin range of 1.4587 -1.4630 as U.K's financial markets were closed in observance Spring Bank Holiday. Cable‘s upside momentum from 1.44450 has been capped at 1.47395 (May 26 High).The pair has been struggling to break May month’s high 1.47696 and also 200 day MA. Any further bullishness only above 1.4770 level. Any indicative break above will take the pair till 1.48500/1.4900 in short term. The minor resistance is around 1.46650 and break above will target next level at 1.4700/1.4740 level. Any violation below 1.4600 will drag the pair down till 1.4550/1.4480 level. Against the euro, the pound trades at 76.20 pence.
    Last edited by Tom; 05-31-2016 at 04:36 PM.

  3. #43
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    GBP/USD 31/05/2016
    Sterling was weighed down by month-end selling and after a poll showed Britain's support to stay in European Union declining, adding to rising uncertainty about next month's referendum. An ORB poll for the Daily Telegraph showed support for the "In camp" was at 51 percent, five points ahead of the "leave camp", however, down from a 13-point lead a week ago. Sterling trades 0.2 percent lower at 1.4612, having declined to a low of 1.4568, from a high of 1.4723. Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.3 percent lower at 76.34 pence, pulling away from a high of 75.72 struck earlier in the session. Cable‘s upside momentum once again capped at 1.4723 and it has been struggling to break May month’s high 1.4769 and also 200 day MA. Any further bullishness only above 1.4770 level. Any indicative break above will take the pair till 1.48500/1.4900 in short term. The minor resistance is around 1.46650 and break above will target next level at 1.4700/1.4740 level. Any violation below 1.4600 will drag the pair down till 1.4550/1.4480 level.

  4. #44
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    GBP/USD 01/06/2016
    Sterling continues to decline, extending previous session losses, on worries that the campaign for Britain to leave the European Union was gaining lead. On Tuesday, two surveys polled by ICM showed the "Out" campaign stood three points ahead of "In" camp. Sterling trades 0.1 percent lower at 1.4461, having touched an early low of 1.4438, its weakest in nine days. Slightly-better-than-expected Britain's manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the month of May failed to strengthen the currency. The index came in at 50.1, slightly higher than forecasts 49.6 and previous 49.2. Against the euro, pound declined to 77.22 pence, it’s weakest since May 24. Technically cable has approached near two month trend line support and any break below confirms major trend reversal. Major trend line support is around 1.4440 and any break below will drag the pair down till 1.43320 (May 16 Low)/1.4240. On the higher side resistance is around 1.4150 (21 day MA) and break above targets 1.4550/1.4600.Overall bearish invalidation only above 1.4740.

  5. #45
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    GBP/USD 02/06/2016
    Sterling edged off two-week lows facilitated by a recovery in stock markets; however, gains were capped by Britain's future in the European Union. The economy's construction PMI failed to strengthen the currency, as it showed the weakest overall growth in activity growth since June 2013, with its headline construction PMI declining to 51.2 from April's 51.9 and markets expectation 52.0. Sterling rose to 1.14468, pulling away from a low of 1.4386 hit on Wednesday, it’s lowest in two weeks. It stood at 1.4430, 0.1 percent up for the day. Against the euro, the pound was flat at 77.62 pence. Major support is around 1.4378 (50% retracement of 1.40053 and 1.4769) and any break below will drag the pair down till 1.4332 (May 16 Low)/ 1.4240. On the higher side resistance is around 1.4508 (21 day MA) and break above targets 1.4550/1.4600. Overall bearish invalidation only above 1.4740 (May 26 High).

  6. #46
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    GBP/USD 03/06/2016
    Sterling hovered near 2-week lows on growing worries over the June 23 referendum on European Union membership. Better-than-expected services sector data failed to provide momentum to the major. Markit's services activity index rose to 53.5 in May, stronger than the median forecast of 52.5 and previous 52.3. Sterling eased against the dollar to 1.4418, while against the euro, the pound trades at 77.26 pence. Sterling's trade-weighted index was lower at 86.8, not far from a 2-week low of 86.6 struck on Wednesday. The major support is around 1.4378 (50% retracement of 1.40053 and 1.4769) and any break below will drag the pair down till 1.43320 (May 16 Low)/1.4240. On the higher side resistance is around 1.4508 (21 day MA) and break above targets 1.4550/1.4600. Overall bearish invalidation only above 1.4740 (May 26 High).

  7. #47
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    GBP/USD 06/06/2016
    Sterling declined more than1 percent to a 3-week low against the dollar after polls showed "Leave" camp gaining support ahead of the June 23 referendum. The weekly online poll showed voters favored Britain leaving the European Union by 48 percent to 43 percent. Sterling was trading 0.8 percent lower at 1.4395 after having fallen to as low as 1.4351, its lowest since May 16. Against the euro, the pound fell 0.6 percent to 78.72 pence. The short term trend is weak as long as resistance 1.4450 holds. Any break below 1.4450 will take the pair till 1.4520/1.4580/1.4600. Overall bearish invalidation is only above1.4750 (200 day MA). On the lower side any break below 1.4380 will drag the pair till 1.4330/1.42896/1.4240.

  8. #48
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    GBP/USD 07/06/2016
    Sterling rebounded against the euro and dollar after two polls showed a narrow lead to the "Remain" camp ahead of the June 23 referendum on Britain's European Union membership. Support for the "Remain" campaign had a one-point lead in both an online YouGov survey published for The Times newspaper and an ORB telephone poll. Sterling trades 1 percent higher at 1.4580, having touched an early high of 1.4656, pulling away from a 3-week low of 1.4351 hit on Monday. The short term trend is weak as long as resistance 1.4750 (200 DMA) holds. Any break above 1.47500 will take the pair till 1.4780/1.4825. The minor resistance is around 1.4670/1.4720. On the lower side any break below 1.4550 will drag it till 1.4500/1.4440/1.4350. Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.8 percent higher at 77.94 pence.

  9. #49
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    GBP/USD 08/06/2016
    Cable rose to 1.4580 after big UK industrial/manufacturing data beats. The pair has once again retreated after making a high of 1.46620 yesterday. It is currently trading at 1.45586. Short term trend is weak as long as resistance 1.4750 (200 day MA ) holds. Any break above 1.47500 will take the pair till 1.4780/1.4825. The minor resistance is around 1.4670/1.4720. On the lower side any break below 1.4500 will drag the pair till 1.4440/1.4350.

  10. #50
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    GBP/USD 10/06/2016
    Sterling edged lower as the cost of hedging against swings in sterling's exchange rate rose to the highest in seven years on worries that Britain will vote to leave the European Union. Better-than-expected Britain’s consumer inflation expectations and construction output failed to strengthen the major. The economy's consumer inflation expectations rose 2.0 percent from 1.8 percent prior, while construction output for the month of April increased 2.5 percent versus market consensus of 1.7 percent gain and previous 3.6 decline. Sterling trades 0.2 percent lower at 1.4424, having touched a low of 1.4410 earlier in the session. Against the euro, the pound trades at 78.33 pence. The short term trend is weak as long as resistance 1.4525 (200 day 4H MA) holds. Any break above 1.45250 will take the pair till 1.4580/1.4660. The minor resistance is around 1.4480. On the lower side any break below 1.4440 will drag it till 1.4350/1.4330.

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