CHINESE WALL: China stocks continue slide, PMI declines, is the Global Engine Slowing?
QUOTE: "Some people say you are going the wrong way, when it's simply a way of your own."
MARKET PULSE

  • Shanghai Composite Index fell 1 % , intra-day low of 5.1 %. It fell 8.5 % on Mon.
  • EVENTS: U.K. GDP, Sweden retail sales and Italy business confidence;
  • Yanis Varoufakis divulged details on how Greece could sneak out of the euro
  • French President Hollande -" run again in 2017 elections if unemployment falls"
  • U.S. central bankers will begin their two-day meeting on Tuesday in Washington
  • Gold's dropped 16 % over the past year as investor holdings shrank
  • Gold: Citigroup Inc. lowered its three-month forecast on Monday
  • A rout in Chinese shares most in 8 years Monday is probably also paring gold demand
  • Move to strip Rajan of control over India rates faces backlash
  • Govt expects to raise 16b INRs from Power Finance divestment
  • Banking system liquidity is expected to remain comfortable
  • A shortfall in India's Jun-Sep rains has narrowed to 4 % below normal from 8 %



INDIAN INR
MARKETS

  • INR 1-month forwards gain 0.1% to 64.48 per USD
  • USD/INR's 14-day RSI at 62 and falling
  • USD/INR Pivot point at 64.1229
  • USD/INR support at 64.0408, 63.9117 and 63.7005
  • USD/INR resistance at 64.2520, 64.3341 and 64.5453
  • INR rises 0.1% to 64.1125 per USD
  • 1-month implied volatility climbs 3 bps to 6.60%; avg for past 12-months is 6.6950%

FACTORS

  • Junior Finance Minister Sinha : govt will ensure RBI autonomy in monetary policy
  • Global investors bought net $6.7m of Indian stocks on July
  • India leading stock index Sensex fell 2% yesterday
  • Move to strip Rajan of control over India rates faces backlash
  • Govt expects to raise 16b INRs from Power Finance divestment
  • Banking system liquidity is expected to remain comfortable
  • A shortfall in India's Jun-Sep rains has narrowed to 4 % below normal from 8 %


FOREIGN EXCHANGE
MARKETS

  • USD/JPY +0.21% at 123.51 (range 123.08-123.53)
  • EUR/USD -0.13% at 1.1074 (range 1.1073-1.1100)
  • AUD/USD +0.34% at 0.7294 (range 0.7257-0.7311)
  • USD/CAD -0.15% at 1.3018 (range 1.3015-1.3043)
  • GBP/USD +0.01% at 1.5560 (range 1.5554-1.5573)
  • USD/CHF -0.12% at 0.9616 (range 0.9605-0.9628)
  • U.S. Treasuries fall across curve, with 10-year yield rising 2 bps to 2.243%
  • Brent crude declines; gold and copper advance


FACTORS

  • Shanghai Composite Index fell1 % , intraday low of 5.1 %. It fell 8.5 % on Mon.
  • EVENTS: U.K. GDP, Sweden retail sales and Italy business confidence;
  • Yanis Varoufakis divulged details on how Greece could sneak out of the euro
  • French President Hollande -" run again in 2017 elections if unemployment falls"


GOLD
MARKETS

  • Gold spot flat at $1,094.77 after dropping 0.5 % on Monday,
  • Gold last week fell to $1,077.40, the lowest since February 2010
  • Gold Decembe Futures declined 0.2 % to $1,094.30
  • Most-active futures fell 4.1 % last week, to $1,073.70 on Fri, (2010.low)
  • Silver spot rose 0.5 % to $14.6375 and was at $14.6071.

FACTORS

  • U.S. central bankers will begin their two-day meeting on Tuesday in Washington
  • Gold's dropped 16 % over the past year as investor holdings shrank
  • Gold: Citigroup Inc. lowered its three-month forecast on Monday
  • A rout in Chinese shares most in 8 years Monday is probably also paring gold demand