TIME TELLS: US Fed's FOMC Minutes today after best housing data in 8 years

QUOTE: Long term vision is the luxury of "Profit", Striving for break-even is the necessity of "Loss"
MARKET PULSE

  • Shanghai Composite index fell 6% yesterday extended decline today
  • OEC-The yen is 18 % undervalued based on purchasing power parity
  • Today release of US Fed's FOMC minutes of July 28-29 meeting
  • US -New homes under construction rose to their highest level since 2007
  • US- Unexpected decline in the number of new housing permits
  • Today: Euro-zone construction output
  • Euro-area finance officials hold call on Greek loan
  • Germany's parliament is expected to support Greece's bailout
  • ECB reduces maximum Greek bank aid as bailout eases cash tension
  • Ukraine's IMF aid offers no panacea for currency after 61% decline
  • South African rand's at a 14-year low
  • Vietnam's central bank devalues dong for 3rd time in 2015
  • Indian Govt focusing on reforms to accelerate economic growth, junior FM Sinha says
  • Indian PM Modi vows $19b for Indian state before Nov. elections
  • Goldman Sachs sees USD/INR at 64.5, 65.0 and 65.0 in 3-, 6- & 12-months
  • India CPI eased to an 8M low of 3.78 % in July
  • India Factory output has grown an average 1.6 % each month since January 2013
  • India FM - Need to focus on the manufacturing sector to boost growth to 8 %
  • India FM-Completed framing bankruptcy rules and will unveil them "anytime soon


INR
MARKETS

  • INR drops 0.1% to 65.3800 per USD
  • 1-month implied volatility falls 9 bps at 7.8625%; average for past 12Mis 6.6861%
  • INR 1-month forwards drop 0.1% to 65.80 per USD
  • USD/INR Pivot point at 65.2779
  • USD/INR support at 65.1795, 65.0466 and 64.8153
  • USD/INR resistance at 65.4108, 65.5092 and 65.7405
  • USD/INR MACD above signal line, both rising

FACTORS

  • Indian Central Bank urged to ease rates as FM says inflation curbed
  • Global investors added net $70.8m of Indian stocks on Aug. 14
  • Indian Govt focusing on reforms to accelerate economic growth, junior FM Sinha says
  • Indian PM Modi vows $19b for Indian state before Nov. elections
  • Goldman Sachs sees USD/INR at 64.5, 65.0 and 65.0 in 3-, 6- and 12-months
  • India CPI eased to an 8M low of 3.78 % in July
  • India Factory output has grown an average 1.6 % each month since January 2013
  • India FM - Need to focus on the manufacturing sector to boost growth to 8 %
  • India FM-Completed framing bankruptcy rules and will unveil them "anytime soon



FOREIGN EXCHANGE
MARKETS

  • USD/JPY -0.13% at 124.25 (range 124.25-124.43)
  • EUR/USD +0.18% at 1.1044 (range 1.1022-1.1053)
  • AUD/USD -0.19% at 0.7327 (range 0.7314-0.7346)
  • USD/CAD -0.01% at 1.3058 (range 1.3040-1.3062)
  • GBP/USD +0.05% at 1.5669 (range 1.5656-1.5678)
  • USD/CHF -0.04% at 0.9768 (range 0.9766-0.9779)

FACTORS

  • Shanghai Composite index fell 6% yesterday extended decline today
  • Today release of US Fed's FOMC minutes of July 28-29 meeting
  • US -New homes under construction rose to their highest level since 2007
  • US- Unexpected decline in the number of new housing permits
  • Today: Euro-zone construction output
  • Euro-area finance officials hold call on Greek loan
  • Germany's parliament is expected to support Greece's bailout
  • ECB reduces maximum Greek bank aid as bailout eases cash tension
  • Ukraine's IMF aid offers no panacea for currency after 61% decline
  • South African rand's at a 14-year low
  • Vietnam's central bank devalues dong for 3rd time in 2015
  • OEC-The yen is 18 % undervalued based on purchasing power parity


GOLD
MARKETS

  • Gold spot traded at $1,117.95 in Asia from $1,117.71 on Tuesday
  • Gold futures Dec. flat at $1,117.20
  • Silver spot rose 0.2 % to $14.9176 after falling 3 % at the close on Tuesday.

FACTORS

  • Release of Federal Reserve minutes today
  • U.S. housing starts boosted the case for a rise.
  • U.S. new-home construction in July reached a 8 year high