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US GDP rose 3.2% in Quarter Two, Fed says Sep hike doubtful
GROWTH ON TRACK: US GDP rose 3.2% in Quarter Two, Fed says Sep hike doubtful
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QUOTE: Lead me, follow me, or get out of my way
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MARKET PULSE
- Fed NY President. Dudley-"case for raising interest rates in Sep is less compelling "
- The U.S. economy grew 3.2 % in Q2 , forecast of 2.3 %
- EUR is moving in the opposite to Stoxx Europe 600 and S&P500 by the most in a decade
- The euro rose more than 7 % in a basket of 10 currencies in the last three 3M
- Fed NY President. Dudley-"case for raising interest rates in Sep is less compelling "
- The U.S. economy grew 3.2 % in Q2 , forecast of 2.3 %
- The MSCI Asia Pacific Index of stocks rose for a 2nd day, gaining 1.7 %
- Today: Spain GDP; ECB's Coeure speaks
- Tsipras's election gamble risks backfiring as Greeks get jaded
- Greek banks' senior creditors may prove elusive write-down target
- Gov. Kuroda-Bank of Japan can still achieve its 2% inflation target
- U.S. data showed crude inventories unexpectedly shrank
- Crude stockpiles fell by 5.45 million barrels to 450.8 million last week
- Production slid to the lowest in more than three months.
- U.S. oil production avg 9.34 m barrels a day through Aug. 21 (May 15 low)
INR
MARKETS
- INR rises 0.2% to 66.0013
- USD/INR pivot point at 66.1942
- USD/INR support at 66.0121, 65.8804, 65.5666;
- USD/INR resistance at 66.3259, 66.5080, 66.8218
- USD/INR 14-day RSI at 69, just below overbought territory
- 1M implied volatility slips 38 bps to 8.3075%; avg for 12M. is 6.7272%
- INR 1-month forwards gain 0.3% to 66.38 per USD
FACTORS
- Global investors sold net $298.7m of Indian stocks on Aug.25
- India's leading index Sensex was up 1.9% today
- TD Securities: India remains one of most resilient economies to external shocks
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
MARKETS
- USD/JPY +0.15% at 120.10 (range 119.82-120.37)
- EUR/USD +0.28% at 1.1346 (range 1.1311-1.1353)
- AUD/USD +0.08% at 0.7128 (range 0.7111-0.7153)
- USD/CAD -0.14% at 1.3274 (range 1.3266-1.3306)
- GBP/USD +0.23% at 1.5498 (range 1.5461-1.5509)
- USD/CHF -0.18% at 0.9531 (range 0.9513-0.9550)
- U.S. Treasuries gain with 10-year yield down 3 bps at 2.149%
FACTORS
- EUR is moving in the opposite to Stoxx Europe 600 and S&P500 by the most in a decade
- The euro rose more than 7 % in a basket of 10 currencies in the last three 3M
- Fed New York President. Dudley-"case for raising interest rates in Sep is less compelling "
- The U.S. economy grew 3.2 % in Q2 , forecast of 2.3 %
- The MSCI Asia Pacific Index of stocks rose for a 2nd day, gaining 1.7 %
- Today: Spain GDP; ECB's Coeure speaks
- Tsipras's election gamble risks backfiring as Greeks get jaded
- Greek banks' senior creditors may prove elusive write-down target
- Gov. Kuroda-Bank of Japan can still achieve its 2% inflation target
CRUDE OIL
MARKETS
- Brent Oct gained $1.31, or 3 %, to $44.45 a
- Brent Oct lost 7 cents to $43.14 on Wed
- Brent crude traded at a premium of $4.67 to WTI
- WTI Oct up $1.21 to $39.81 at open
- All futures traded volume was about 95 % above the 100-day average
FACTORS
- U.S. data showed crude inventories unexpectedly shrank
- Crude stockpiles fell by 5.45 million barrels to 450.8 million last week
- Production slid to the lowest in more than three months.
- U.S. oil production avg 9.34 m barrels a day through Aug. 21 (May 15 low)
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